Extended Data Table 2 Range of plausible estimates of global maternal orphan due to cancer point prevalence in mid-2020

From: Global and regional estimates of orphans attributed to maternal cancer mortality in 2020

 

2002–2019 GLOBOCAN cancer mortality rates (MR) in women as a function of 2020 rates

Mortality Rate Ratios in children associated with being a maternal orphan

 

1.25

1.5

2

2.6

1

Scenario

 

a

b

c

d

e

1

Stable MR=MR2020

7,048,905*

7,030980

6,995,799

6,954,709

7,067,062

2

Increasing MR=MR2020// 1.01^(2020-Year)

6,701,135

6,684,748

6,652,573

6,614,974

6,717,728

3

Decreasing MR=MR2020 x 1.01^(2020-Year)

7,422,926

7,403,297

7,364,789

7,319,840

7,442,813

4**

Region-specific MR

6,917,011

6,900,619

6,868,421

6,830,770

6,933,603

  1. *Estimates from Scenario 1a are our best-estimates and thus are the central estimates provided in the text; **For scenario 4, we applied scenario 2 cancer mortality rates for low and middle HDI countries/territories and scenario 3 rates to high and very high HDI countries.
  2. MR: Mortality rates.
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