Online-only Table 3 Validation of estimated population using population values reported in the Spanish census of 2019.
From: COVID-19 Flow-Maps an open geographic information system on COVID-19 and human mobility for Spain
References | Date: 2020-02-15 | Date: 2020-04-15 | Date: 2020-06-15 | Date: 2020-10-15 | |||||||
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Province | Censal Population | Estimated Population | % Error | Estimated Population | % Error | Estimated Population | % Error | Estimated Population | % Error | Mean % Error | |
Araba/Álava | 331549 | 317029 | 4.38 | 327315 | 1.28 | 322741 | 2.66 | 322939 | 2.597 | 2.728 | |
Albacete | 388167 | 397959 | 2.52 | 392723 | 1.17 | 395635 | 1.92 | 392701 | 1.168 | 1.697 | |
Alacant/Alicante | 1858683 | 1832457 | 1.41 | 1831673 | 1.45 | 1834165 | 1.32 | 1849220 | 0.509 | 1.173 | |
Almería | 716820 | 705128 | 1.63 | 707381 | 1.32 | 711416 | 0.75 | 710269 | 0.914 | 1.154 | |
Ávila | 157640 | 164975 | 4.65 | 156236 | 0.89 | 156242 | 0.89 | 157424 | 0.137 | 1.642 | |
Badajoz | 673559 | 685995 | 1.85 | 689806 | 2.41 | 693668 | 2.99 | 686803 | 1.966 | 2.303 | |
Illes Balears | 1149460 | 1104996 | 3.87 | 1112458 | 3.22 | 1118858 | 2.66 | 1111600 | 3.294 | 3.261 | |
Barcelona | 5664579 | 5436723 | 4.02 | 5477000 | 3.31 | 5479651 | 3.26 | 5477995 | 3.294 | 3.473 | |
Burgos | 356958 | 359166 | 0.62 | 357773 | 0.23 | 359512 | 0.72 | 360395 | 0.963 | 0.631 | |
Cáceres | 394151 | 410989 | 4.27 | 403215 | 2.30 | 406715 | 3.19 | 408629 | 3.673 | 3.358 | |
Cádiz | 1240155 | 1231467 | 0.70 | 1225441 | 1.19 | 1249262 | 0.73 | 1233835 | 0.510 | 0.783 | |
Castelló/Castellón | 579962 | 586514 | 1.13 | 579960 | 0.00 | 578093 | 0.32 | 585760 | 1.000 | 0.613 | |
Ciudad Real | 495761 | 520341 | 4.96 | 517203 | 4.33 | 517286 | 4.34 | 512662 | 3.409 | 4.258 | |
Córdoba | 782979 | 798418 | 1.97 | 799684 | 2.13 | 797259 | 1.82 | 791930 | 1.143 | 1.768 | |
A Coruña | 1119596 | 1098370 | 1.90 | 1103919 | 1.40 | 1101147 | 1.65 | 1107137 | 1.113 | 1.514 | |
Cuenca | 196329 | 205014 | 4.42 | 196533 | 0.10 | 197465 | 0.58 | 201143 | 2.452 | 1.889 | |
Girona | 771044 | 769282 | 0.23 | 748743 | 2.89 | 748747 | 2.89 | 742029 | 3.763 | 2.444 | |
Granada | 914678 | 938694 | 2.63 | 904067 | 1.16 | 907687 | 0.76 | 921672 | 0.765 | 1.329 | |
Guadalajara | 257762 | 256592 | 0.45 | 258591 | 0.32 | 259983 | 0.86 | 260957 | 1.239 | 0.719 | |
Gipuzkoa | 723576 | 697862 | 3.55 | 705870 | 2.45 | 708312 | 2.11 | 700789 | 3.149 | 2.815 | |
Huelva | 521870 | 533749 | 2.28 | 526287 | 0.85 | 538307 | 3.15 | 524479 | 0.500 | 1.693 | |
Huesca | 220461 | 252398 | 14.49 | 224472 | 1.82 | 228402 | 3.60 | 228476 | 3.636 | 5.886 | |
Jaén | 633564 | 649823 | 2.57 | 649113 | 2.45 | 651360 | 2.81 | 644405 | 1.711 | 2.385 | |
León | 460001 | 474579 | 3.17 | 471534 | 2.51 | 473228 | 2.88 | 477217 | 3.743 | 3.074 | |
Lleida | 434930 | 440588 | 1.30 | 424243 | 2.46 | 428136 | 1.56 | 426235 | 1.999 | 1.830 | |
La Rioja | 316798 | 321892 | 1.61 | 314142 | 0.84 | 318047 | 0.39 | 315726 | 0.339 | 0.795 | |
Lugo | 329587 | 338000 | 2.55 | 337522 | 2.41 | 339728 | 3.08 | 340332 | 3.260 | 2.824 | |
Madrid | 6663394 | 6328664 | 5.02 | 6355007 | 4.63 | 6334976 | 4.93 | 6318097 | 5.182 | 4.941 | |
Málaga | 1661785 | 1636124 | 1.54 | 1630264 | 1.90 | 1637035 | 1.49 | 1640576 | 1.276 | 1.552 | |
Murcia | 1493898 | 1456324 | 2.52 | 1466631 | 1.83 | 1466243 | 1.85 | 1463260 | 2.051 | 2.061 | |
Navarra | 654214 | 628538 | 3.92 | 634912 | 2.95 | 633543 | 3.16 | 630826 | 3.575 | 3.402 | |
Ourense | 307651 | 312854 | 1.69 | 314645 | 2.27 | 317514 | 3.21 | 315573 | 2.575 | 2.436 | |
Asturias | 1022800 | 1025721 | 0.29 | 1028144 | 0.52 | 1027078 | 0.42 | 1031971 | 0.897 | 0.531 | |
Palencia | 160980 | 166544 | 3.46 | 164315 | 2.07 | 165735 | 2.95 | 166030 | 3.137 | 2.905 | |
Las Palmas | 1120406 | 1089664 | 2.74 | 1088945 | 2.81 | 1087975 | 2.89 | 1085099 | 3.151 | 2.899 | |
Pontevedra | 942665 | 927479 | 1.61 | 933143 | 1.01 | 935773 | 0.73 | 933345 | 0.989 | 1.085 | |
Salamanca | 330119 | 341372 | 3.41 | 326383 | 1.13 | 326089 | 1.22 | 339554 | 2.858 | 2.155 | |
Santa Cruz de Tenerife | 1032983 | 989936 | 4.17 | 984390 | 4.70 | 983590 | 4.78 | 981577 | 4.977 | 4.657 | |
Cantabria | 581078 | 599096 | 3.10 | 585492 | 0.76 | 586730 | 0.97 | 592967 | 2.046 | 1.720 | |
Segovia | 153129 | 153032 | 0.06 | 148041 | 3.32 | 147562 | 3.64 | 145846 | 4.756 | 2.945 | |
Sevilla | 1942389 | 1899330 | 2.22 | 1930621 | 0.61 | 1905801 | 1.88 | 1936663 | 0.295 | 1.250 | |
Soria | 88636 | 88125 | 0.58 | 85181 | 3.90 | 85638 | 3.38 | 88979 | 0.387 | 2.061 | |
Tarragona | 804664 | 797846 | 0.85 | 792664 | 1.49 | 792295 | 1.54 | 785571 | 2.373 | 1.562 | |
Teruel | 134137 | 138601 | 3.33 | 134968 | 0.62 | 137478 | 2.49 | 136631 | 1.860 | 2.074 | |
Toledo | 694844 | 725706 | 4.44 | 722803 | 4.02 | 721957 | 3.90 | 718190 | 3.360 | 3.932 | |
València/Valencia | 2565124 | 2495425 | 2.72 | 2514083 | 1.99 | 2513028 | 2.03 | 2520861 | 1.726 | 2.116 | |
Valladolid | 519546 | 512426 | 1.37 | 517502 | 0.39 | 515630 | 0.75 | 515004 | 0.874 | 0.848 | |
Bizkaia | 1152651 | 1096502 | 4.87 | 1111404 | 3.58 | 1116881 | 3.10 | 1100122 | 4.557 | 4.028 | |
Zamora | 172539 | 184928 | 7.18 | 182166 | 5.58 | 182903 | 6.01 | 185800 | 7.686 | 6.613 | |
Zaragoza | 964693 | 938100 | 2.76 | 949771 | 1.55 | 943340 | 2.21 | 949557 | 1.569 | 2.021 | |
Ceuta | 84777 | 66610 | 21.43 | 69111 | 18.48 | 68237 | 19.51 | 68374 | 19.348 | 19.692 | |
Melilla | 86487 | 72581 | 16.08 | 75598 | 12.59 | 74353 | 14.03 | 73073 | 15.510 | 14.552 | |
Mean | 3.47 | Mean | 2.53 | Mean | 2.83 | Mean | 2.870 | Mean | 2.925 | ||
R² | 0.9998 | R² | 0.9999 | R² | 0.9998 | R² | 0.9998 |