Online-only Table 3 Validation of estimated population using population values reported in the Spanish census of 2019.

From: COVID-19 Flow-Maps an open geographic information system on COVID-19 and human mobility for Spain

 

References

Date: 2020-02-15

Date: 2020-04-15

Date: 2020-06-15

Date: 2020-10-15

  

Province

Censal Population

Estimated Population

% Error

Estimated Population

% Error

Estimated Population

% Error

Estimated Population

% Error

 

Mean % Error

Araba/Álava

331549

317029

4.38

327315

1.28

322741

2.66

322939

2.597

 

2.728

Albacete

388167

397959

2.52

392723

1.17

395635

1.92

392701

1.168

 

1.697

Alacant/Alicante

1858683

1832457

1.41

1831673

1.45

1834165

1.32

1849220

0.509

 

1.173

Almería

716820

705128

1.63

707381

1.32

711416

0.75

710269

0.914

 

1.154

Ávila

157640

164975

4.65

156236

0.89

156242

0.89

157424

0.137

 

1.642

Badajoz

673559

685995

1.85

689806

2.41

693668

2.99

686803

1.966

 

2.303

Illes Balears

1149460

1104996

3.87

1112458

3.22

1118858

2.66

1111600

3.294

 

3.261

Barcelona

5664579

5436723

4.02

5477000

3.31

5479651

3.26

5477995

3.294

 

3.473

Burgos

356958

359166

0.62

357773

0.23

359512

0.72

360395

0.963

 

0.631

Cáceres

394151

410989

4.27

403215

2.30

406715

3.19

408629

3.673

 

3.358

Cádiz

1240155

1231467

0.70

1225441

1.19

1249262

0.73

1233835

0.510

 

0.783

Castelló/Castellón

579962

586514

1.13

579960

0.00

578093

0.32

585760

1.000

 

0.613

Ciudad Real

495761

520341

4.96

517203

4.33

517286

4.34

512662

3.409

 

4.258

Córdoba

782979

798418

1.97

799684

2.13

797259

1.82

791930

1.143

 

1.768

A Coruña

1119596

1098370

1.90

1103919

1.40

1101147

1.65

1107137

1.113

 

1.514

Cuenca

196329

205014

4.42

196533

0.10

197465

0.58

201143

2.452

 

1.889

Girona

771044

769282

0.23

748743

2.89

748747

2.89

742029

3.763

 

2.444

Granada

914678

938694

2.63

904067

1.16

907687

0.76

921672

0.765

 

1.329

Guadalajara

257762

256592

0.45

258591

0.32

259983

0.86

260957

1.239

 

0.719

Gipuzkoa

723576

697862

3.55

705870

2.45

708312

2.11

700789

3.149

 

2.815

Huelva

521870

533749

2.28

526287

0.85

538307

3.15

524479

0.500

 

1.693

Huesca

220461

252398

14.49

224472

1.82

228402

3.60

228476

3.636

 

5.886

Jaén

633564

649823

2.57

649113

2.45

651360

2.81

644405

1.711

 

2.385

León

460001

474579

3.17

471534

2.51

473228

2.88

477217

3.743

 

3.074

Lleida

434930

440588

1.30

424243

2.46

428136

1.56

426235

1.999

 

1.830

La Rioja

316798

321892

1.61

314142

0.84

318047

0.39

315726

0.339

 

0.795

Lugo

329587

338000

2.55

337522

2.41

339728

3.08

340332

3.260

 

2.824

Madrid

6663394

6328664

5.02

6355007

4.63

6334976

4.93

6318097

5.182

 

4.941

Málaga

1661785

1636124

1.54

1630264

1.90

1637035

1.49

1640576

1.276

 

1.552

Murcia

1493898

1456324

2.52

1466631

1.83

1466243

1.85

1463260

2.051

 

2.061

Navarra

654214

628538

3.92

634912

2.95

633543

3.16

630826

3.575

 

3.402

Ourense

307651

312854

1.69

314645

2.27

317514

3.21

315573

2.575

 

2.436

Asturias

1022800

1025721

0.29

1028144

0.52

1027078

0.42

1031971

0.897

 

0.531

Palencia

160980

166544

3.46

164315

2.07

165735

2.95

166030

3.137

 

2.905

Las Palmas

1120406

1089664

2.74

1088945

2.81

1087975

2.89

1085099

3.151

 

2.899

Pontevedra

942665

927479

1.61

933143

1.01

935773

0.73

933345

0.989

 

1.085

Salamanca

330119

341372

3.41

326383

1.13

326089

1.22

339554

2.858

 

2.155

Santa Cruz de Tenerife

1032983

989936

4.17

984390

4.70

983590

4.78

981577

4.977

 

4.657

Cantabria

581078

599096

3.10

585492

0.76

586730

0.97

592967

2.046

 

1.720

Segovia

153129

153032

0.06

148041

3.32

147562

3.64

145846

4.756

 

2.945

Sevilla

1942389

1899330

2.22

1930621

0.61

1905801

1.88

1936663

0.295

 

1.250

Soria

88636

88125

0.58

85181

3.90

85638

3.38

88979

0.387

 

2.061

Tarragona

804664

797846

0.85

792664

1.49

792295

1.54

785571

2.373

 

1.562

Teruel

134137

138601

3.33

134968

0.62

137478

2.49

136631

1.860

 

2.074

Toledo

694844

725706

4.44

722803

4.02

721957

3.90

718190

3.360

 

3.932

València/Valencia

2565124

2495425

2.72

2514083

1.99

2513028

2.03

2520861

1.726

 

2.116

Valladolid

519546

512426

1.37

517502

0.39

515630

0.75

515004

0.874

 

0.848

Bizkaia

1152651

1096502

4.87

1111404

3.58

1116881

3.10

1100122

4.557

 

4.028

Zamora

172539

184928

7.18

182166

5.58

182903

6.01

185800

7.686

 

6.613

Zaragoza

964693

938100

2.76

949771

1.55

943340

2.21

949557

1.569

 

2.021

Ceuta

84777

66610

21.43

69111

18.48

68237

19.51

68374

19.348

 

19.692

Melilla

86487

72581

16.08

75598

12.59

74353

14.03

73073

15.510

 

14.552

  

Mean

3.47

Mean

2.53

Mean

2.83

Mean

2.870

Mean

2.925

  

0.9998

0.9999

0.9998

0.9998