Table 4 Seasonal bias statistics comparing the WRF historical simulation during the period 1981–2019 to both the ERA5 and PRISM datasets, including CONUS-wide mean absolute biases for daily maximum temperature and precipitation, as well as the spatial pattern correlation coefficients mean daily maximum temperature and precipitation across the CONUS.

From: Continental United States climate projections based on thermodynamic modification of historical weather

 

Mean Absolute Daily Maximum Temperature Bias (°C)

Mean Absolute Daily Precipitation Bias (mm)

WRF vs. ERA5

WRF vs. PRISM

WRF vs. ERA5

WRF vs. PRISM

Winter (DJF)

1.73

1.68

0.24

0.33

Spring (MAM)

1.12

0.97

0.31

0.30

Summer (JJA)

1.09

1.04

0.56

0.58

Fall (SON)

0.78

0.81

0.36

0.32

 

Mean Daily Maximum Temperature Spatial Pattern Correlation

Mean Daily Precipitation Spatial Pattern Correlation

WRF vs. ERA5

WRF vs. PRISM

WRF vs. ERA5

WRF vs. PRISM

Winter (DJF)

0.99

0.99

0.96

0.96

Spring (MAM)

0.99

0.99

0.95

0.94

Summer (JJA)

0.95

0.95

0.91

0.90

Fall (SON)

0.99

0.99

0.95

0.95