Table 1 Prediction performance of test data.
Provinces (No. of cities) | Metrics | DT | KNN | LGBM | MLP | RF | XGB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Anhui (16) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.782 | 0.718 | 0.964 | / | 0.661 | 0.955 |
MSE_test | 15731 | 20275 | 2565 | / | 24420 | 3224 | |
Fujian (9) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.137 | 0.847 | 0.354 | / | 0.617 | 0.947 |
MSE_test | 83706 | 14864 | 63684 | / | 37110 | 5105 | |
Gansu (14) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.804 | 0.898 | 0.466 | −0.194 | 0.965 | 0.870 |
MSE_test | 20127 | 10418 | 54718 | 122294 | 3599 | 13330 | |
Guangdong (21) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.467 | 0.824 | 0.484 | 0.467 | 0.924 | 0.960 |
MSE_test | 28108 | 9297 | 27211 | 28107.700 | 3987 | 2087 | |
Guangxi (14) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.952 | 0.981 | 0.173 | 0.198 | 0.985 | 0.984 |
MSE_test | 22671 | 9129 | 392541 | 380296 | 6923 | 7647 | |
Guizhou (9) | Adjusted R2_test | −0.100 | −0.077 | −0.093 | −0.251 | −0.072 | −0.059 |
MSE_test | 42835 | 41936 | 42562 | 48716 | 41757 | 41249 | |
Hebei (11) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.942 | 0.969 | 0.746 | 0.055 | 0.987 | 0.962 |
MSE_test | 675070 | 359826 | 2942654 | 10967061 | 152356 | 443062 | |
Henan (14) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.836 | 0.919 | 0.251 | 0.429 | 0.942 | 0.918 |
MSE_test | 60971 | 30046 | 278623 | 212262 | 216034 | 30670 | |
Heilongjiang (13) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.172 | 0.929 | 0.402 | −0.560 | 0.940 | 0.955 |
MSE_test | 75787 | 6518 | 54714 | 142681 | 5447 | 4112 | |
Hubei (13) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.649 | 0.866 | 0.659 | 0.035 | 0.858 | 0.955 |
MSE_test | 71609 | 27251 | 69444 | 196736 | 28991 | 9228 | |
Hunan (14) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.659 | 0.759 | 0.740 | 0.012 | 0.898 | 0.933 |
MSE_test | 28260 | 20007 | 21590 | 81976 | 8439 | 5522 | |
Jilin (9) | Adjusted R2_test | / | 0.882 | / | 0.154 | 0.913 | 0.907 |
MSE_test | / | 13995 | / | 100431 | 10355 | 10990 | |
Jiangsu (13) | Adjusted R2_test | / | 0.960 | / | −0.006 | 0.987 | 0.991 |
MSE_test | / | 15889 | / | 400932 | 5208 | 3394 | |
Jiangxi (11) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.975 | 0.993 | / | 0.811 | 0.994 | 0.992 |
MSE_test | 48807 | 13879 | / | 375865.500 | 11364 | 15768 | |
Liaoning (14) | Adjusted R2_test | / | 0.633 | −0.143 | 0.000 | 0.892 | 0.841 |
MSE_test | / | 558383 | 1736208 | 1519475 | 163993 | 241168 | |
Inner Mongolia (12) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.502 | 0.833 | 0.067 | 0.414 | 0.801 | 0.818 |
MSE_test | 1376167 | 462105 | 2576858 | 1619270 | 549723 | 503258 | |
Ningxia (5) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.814 | 0.963 | 0.499 | −0.695 | 0.958 | 0.945 |
MSE_test | 16173 | 3233 | 43631 | 147584 | 3630 | 4773 | |
Shandong (16) | Adjusted R2_test | / | 0.939 | / | 0.063 | 0.974 | 0.975 |
MSE_test | / | 36989 | / | 564314 | 15594 | 15235 | |
Shanxi (11) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.511 | 0.674 | 0.335 | −0.136 | 0.886 | 0.817 |
MSE_test | 308339 | 205553 | 418711 | 715351 | 71612 | 115227 | |
Shaanxi (10) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.936 | 0.527 | 0.807 | 0.224 | 0.985 | 0.954 |
MSE_test | 38179 | 282946 | 115464 | 464846 | 9242 | 27301 | |
Sichuang (21) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.948 | 0.951 | 0.864 | −0.013 | 0.966 | 0.915 |
MSE_test | 21117 | 19727 | 55043 | 409693 | 13615 | 34183 | |
Xinjiang (14) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.829 | 0.955 | 0.586 | 0.298 | 0.858 | 0.944 |
MSE_test | 65959 | 17238 | 159222 | 270054 | 54475 | 21478 | |
Yunnan (16) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.092 | 0.792 | 0.570 | 0.368 | 0.923 | 0.944 |
MSE_test | 418064 | 95843 | 198035 | 291096 | 35414 | 25995 | |
Zhejiang (11) | Adjusted R2_test | 0.895 | 0.973 | 0.831 | 0.555 | 0.982 | 0.964 |
MSE_test | 6992 | 1805 | 11254 | 29613 | 1164 | 2412 |