Table 1 Results of univariate Binomial GLMs modeling the probability that a pollen sample would be contaminated by a given pesticide vs the areas of different (groups of) crops and grasslands at different spatial scales (Buffer column, in meters).

From: The challenges of predicting pesticide exposure of honey bees at landscape level

Boscalid
ID	Buffer	Variable	AICc	Δ AICc	AICc w	AUC	Slope	LRT	p
1	3000	Beet	40.01	0	0.604	0.894	0.33	29.14	<0.0001
2	3000	All Crops	42.81	2.798	0.149	0.894	0.18	26.34	<0.0001
3	3000	Authorized Crops	44.76	4.750	0.056	0.883	0.19	24.39	<0.0001
4	3000	Potato	45.24	5.231	0.044	0.920	0.36	23.90	<0.0001
5	3000	Cereals	45.74	5.734	0.034	0.863	0.21	23.40	<0.0001
6	1000	All Crops	46.06	6.054	0.029	0.846	0.47	23.08	<0.0001
7	1500	All Crops	46.40	6.386	0.025	0.851	0.31	22.75	<0.0001
8	1500	Authorized Crops	47.03	7.016	0.018	0.854	0.34	22.12	<0.0001
9	1000	Authorized Crops	47.35	7.344	0.015	0.840	0.53	21.79	<0.0001
10	500	All Crops	48.79	8.779	0.007	0.834	0.70	20.36	<0.0001
11–41	(…)
42	—	NULL MODEL	66.92	26.91	0	0.500	—	—	—
43–55	(…)
Pyrimethanil
1	3000	Rapeseed	42.18	0	0.287	0.735	0.39	8.55	0.00346
2	1000	Rapeseed	43.69	1.515	0.134	0.756	0.61	7.03	0.00801
3	1500	Rapeseed	44.25	2.074	0.102	0.731	0.45	6.47	0.01095
4	3000	Flax	46.15	3.970	0.039	0.793	0.24	4.58	0.03240
5	3000	Horticulture	46.82	4.640	0.028	0.641	−1.93	3.91	0.04807
6	500	Beet	47.09	4.908	0.025	0.683	0.47	3.64	0.05643
7	3000	Cover	47.36	5.178	0.022	0.630	0.48	3.37	0.06643
8	500	Potato	47.36	5.184	0.021	0.659	0.46	3.36	0.06666
9	1000	Fabaceae	47.66	5.482	0.018	0.619	0.52	3.07	0.07999
10	3000	Cereals	47.78	5.599	0.017	0.719	0.07	2.95	0.08600
11–12	(…)
13–55	—	NULL MODEL	48.5	6.322	0.012	0.500	—	—	—
14–55	(…)
Dimethoate
1	1000	Cereals	16.52	0	0.989	0.991	3.32	37.55	<0.0001
2	1000	All Crops	26.93	10.40	0.005	0.955	0.93	27.15	<0.0001
3	1500	Beet	29.61	13.08	0.001	0.942	0.77	24.47	<0.0001
4	1000	Beet	30.29	13.76	0.001	0.946	0.97	23.79	<0.0001
5	1500	Cereals	30.68	14.15	0.001	0.906	0.62	23.40	<0.0001
6	1500	Authorized Crops	31.37	14.85	0.001	0.920	0.67	22.70	<0.0001
7	1500	All Crops	31.4	14.88	0.001	0.929	0.46	22.67	<0.0001
8	1000	Authorized Crops	33.26	16.73	0	0.924	0.72	20.82	<0.0001
9	3000	Beet	33.73	17.21	0	0.915	0.36	20.34	<0.0001
10	3000	Authorized Crops	34.36	17.84	0	0.924	0.30	19.71	<0.0001
11–37	(…)
38	NA	NULL MODEL	51.85	35.32	0	0.500	—		—
39–55	(…)

Only the ten best models (lowest AICc) are shown along with the null model. LRT = Likelihood Ratio Test statistic (degrees of freedom = 1 for all models). Full tables available in the Supplementary Information 1.

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Table 1 Results of univariate Binomial GLMs modeling the probability that a pollen sample would be contaminated by a given pesticide vs the areas of different (groups of) crops and grasslands at different spatial scales (Buffer column, in meters).

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