Table 2 Statistical anomalies in surface downward longwave radiation (LWD), skin temperature (SKT), precipitable water vapor (WV), WV radiative forcing (Fwv), cloud fraction (CFC), cloud radiative forcing (CRF) and onset SIC for LOIYs.

From: Enhanced wintertime greenhouse effect reinforcing Arctic amplification and initial sea-ice melting

Time Period

Variables

LOIYs Anomaly

Confidence level (%)

Winter (Dec – Feb)

LWD

2.94 W m−2

98.04

SKT

0.80 K

97.68

WV

0.13 mm

97.31

Fwv

2.18 W m−2

97.31

CFC

1.25%

93.82

CRF

0.50 W m −2

92.90

Spring (Mar – May)

LWD

3.50 W m−2

98.49

SKT

0.84 K

98.74

WV

0.20 mm

99.12

Fwv

2.28 W m−2

99.12

CFC

1.50%

95.64

CRF

1.13 W m −2

98.03

Wintertime (Dec – May)

LWD

3.22 W m−2

99.74

SKT

0.82 K

98.87

WV

0.17 mm

99.52

Fwv

2.23 W m−2

99.52

CFC

1.22%

97.04

CRF

0.81 W m −2

97.91

Melting onset (May 16 – June 05)

SIC

−2.28%

99.97

  1. The confidence level for each variable is based on a Monte Carlo approach with 10,000 iterations, similar to a previous study by23. Values marked with underline are the statistical anomalies from 2001 to 2014.