Figure 3
Annual probability of seroconversion rate for specific malaria antigen by age in each setting. Maximum-likelihood fits from reversible catalytic equilibrium model from each setting are shown. λ, the area-specific annual rate of seroconversion. (A) AMA-1, (B) MSP-119, (C) CSP. The model was constrained to fit a single value for the annual probability of a common seroreversion rate (ρ), which was estimated; AMA-1: 0.0377 (95% CI 0.0312–0.0456); MSP-119: 0.0433 (95% CI 0.0330–0.0568); CSP: 0.0011 (95% CI 0.0000–0.61138). Points indicated observed seroprevalence and solid lines show model-predicted seroprevalence. Broken lines are 95% confidence intervals.
