Table 3 Prediction performance of different diagnostic methods for different outcomes.
Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | PPV** (95% CI) | NPV† (95% CI) | LR + ° (95% CI) | LR −‡ (95% CI) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Delivery <7 days (frequency = 14/180 = 7.8%) | ||||||
Cervical length <15 mm | 85.7% (57.2–98.2%) | 56% (48.1–63.7%) | 14.1% (7.5–23.4%) | 97.9% (92.6–99.7%) | 2.0 (1.5–2.6) | 0.2 (0.07–0.9) |
ph-IGFBP1+ | 28.6% (8.4–58.1%) | 89.8% (84.1–93.9%) | 19% (5.5–41.9%) | 93.7% (88.7–96.9%) | 2.8 (1.1–7.2) | 0.8 (0.6–1.1) |
Positive combination test* | 92.9% (66.1–99.8%) | 51.8% (43.9–59.6%) | 14% (7.7–22.7%) | 98.9% (93.8–100%) | 1.9 (1.6–2.4) | 0.2 (0.02–0.9) |
Delivery <14 days (frequency = 19/180 = 10.6%) | ||||||
Cervical length <15 mm | 84.2% (60.4–96.6%) | 57.1% (49.1–64.9%) | 18.8% (11.2–28.8%) | 96.8% (91–99.3%) | 2.0 (1.5–2.6) | 0.2 (0.1–0.8) |
ph-IGFBP1+ | 31.6% (12.6–56.6%) | 90.7% (85.1–94.7%) | 28.6% (11.3–52.2%) | 91.8% (86.4–95.6%) | 3.4 (1.5–7.7) | 0.8 (0.5–1.0) |
Positive combination test* | 89.5% (66.9–98.7%) | 52.8% (44.8–60.7%) | 18.3% (11–27.6%) | 97.7% (91.9–99.7%) | 1.9 (1.5–2.4) | 0.2 (0.05–0.7) |
Delivery <34 weeks (frequency = 23/179 = 12.9%) | ||||||
Cervical length <15 mm | 82.6% (61.2–95%) | 58.3% (50.2–66.2%) | 22.6% (14.2–33%) | 95.8% (89.6–98.8%) | 2.0 (1.5–2.6) | 0.3 (0.1–0.7) |
ph-IGFBP1+ | 30.4% (13.2–52.9%) | 91% (85.4–95%) | 33.3% (14.6–57%) | 89.9% (84.1–94.1%) | 3.4 (1.5–7.5) | 0.8 (0.6–1) |
Positive combination test* | 87% (66.4–97.2%) | 53.8% (45.7–61.8%) | 21.7% (13.8–31.6%) | 96.6% (90.3–99.3%) | 1.9 (1.5–2.4) | 0.3 (0.1–0.7) |
Delivery <37 weeks (frequency = 51/177 = 28.8%) | ||||||
Cervical length <15 mm | 72.5% (58.3–81.1%) | 63.5% (54.4–71.9%) | 44.6% (33.7–55.9%) | 85.1% (76.3–91.6%) | 2.0 (1.5–2.6) | 0.4 (0.3–0.7) |
ph-IGFBP1+ | 23.5% (12.8–37.5%) | 92.9% (86.9–96.7%) | 57.1% (34–78.2%) | 75% (67.4–81.6%) | 3.3 (1.5–7.3) | 0.8 (0.7–1.0) |
Positive combination test* | 76.5% (62.5–87.2%) | 58.7% (49.6–67.4%) | 42.9% (32.5–53.7%) | 86% (76.9–92.6%) | 1.9 (1.4–2.4) | 0.4 (0.2–0.7) |