Table 3 Hazard ratios and confidence intervals for predicting work disability in 10 years.
From: Development and validation of a risk prediction model for work disability: multicohort study
Predictor | FPS 2000 | FPS 2004 | FPS 2000+2004 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
n | HR | 95% CI | n | HR | 95% CI | n | HR | 95% CI | ||
Age | ||||||||||
< 35 | 8024 | 1.00 | — | 7082 | 1.00 | — | 13141 | 1.00 | — | |
35–39 | 6161 | 1.23 | (1.11, 1.34) | 5544 | 1.42 | (1.21, 1.63) | 9017 | 1.26 | (1.16, 1.36) | |
40–44 | 7948 | 1.54 | (1.44, 1.64) | 7396 | 1.57 | (1.37, 1.77) | 10943 | 1.55 | (1.46, 1.64) | |
45–49 | 8517 | 2.45 | (2.35, 2.55) | 8637 | 2.21 | (2.02, 2.40) | 11275 | 2.42 | (2.33, 2.50) | |
50–54 | 9227 | 3.54 | (3.44, 3.64) | 8506 | 3.86 | (3.67, 4.05) | 11554 | 3.62 | (3.54, 3.71) | |
55+ | 7648 | 4.47 | (4.37, 4.57) | 9848 | 5.26 | (5.07, 5.46) | 9845 | 4.67 | (4.58, 4.76) | |
Self-rated health | ||||||||||
1 = Good | 18029 | 1.00 | — | 17642 | 1.00 | — | 25909 | 1.00 | — | |
2 | 17105 | 1.26 | (1.20, 1.31) | 16819 | 1.24 | (1.11, 1.37) | 23424 | 1.26 | (1.21, 1.32) | |
3 | 10218 | 1.70 | (1.64, 1.77) | 10430 | 1.88 | (1.75, 2.02) | 13640 | 1.74 | (1.68, 1.80) | |
4 | 1995 | 3.02 | (2.93, 3.11) | 1974 | 3.47 | (3.28, 3.67) | 2591 | 3.11 | (3.03, 3.19) | |
5 = Poor | 178 | 4.53 | (4.32, 4.73) | 152 | 5.50 | (4.96, 6.04) | 211 | 4.56 | (4.37, 4.76) | |
No. of sickness absences during the previous year | ||||||||||
0 | 39659 | 1.00 | — | 38851 | 1.00 | — | 55008 | 1.00 | — | |
1 | 6477 | 1.53 | (1.48, 1.58) | 6617 | 1.60 | (1.49, 1.72) | 8837 | 1.54 | (1.50, 1.59) | |
2 | 1188 | 2.10 | (2.01, 2.19) | 1257 | 2.23 | (2.04, 2.41) | 1644 | 2.10 | (2.02, 2.18) | |
3 | 201 | 3.26 | (3.07, 3.45) | 292 | 2.94 | (2.57, 3.30) | 286 | 3.11 | (2.94, 3.27) | |
Socioeconomic position | ||||||||||
1 | 1292 | 1.00 | — | 1310 | 1.00 | — | 1616 | 1.00 | — | |
2 | 12498 | 1.00 | (0.85, 1.15) | 12412 | 1.38 | (0.94, 1.82) | 17556 | 1.05 | (0.90, 1.19) | |
3 | 12462 | 1.31 | (1.17, 1.46) | 13235 | 1.78 | (1.34, 2.21) | 17861 | 1.37 | (1.23, 1.51) | |
4 | 3486 | 1.32 | (1.16, 1.48) | 3344 | 1.77 | (1.31, 2.22) | 4631 | 1.38 | (1.23, 1.53) | |
5 | 10427 | 1.66 | (1.51, 1.80) | 9652 | 2.23 | (1.79, 2.66) | 13936 | 1.73 | (1.59, 1.87) | |
6 | 2146 | 1.63 | (1.47, 1.79) | 2237 | 2.06 | (1.60, 2.51) | 3073 | 1.70 | (1.54, 1.85) | |
7 | 5214 | 1.84 | (1.69, 1.99) | 4827 | 2.39 | (1.95, 2.83) | 7012 | 1.93 | (1.79, 2.08) | |
Chronic illness | ||||||||||
0 | 14569 | 1.00 | — | 13668 | 1.00 | — | 20230 | 1.00 | — | |
1 | 1.25 | (1.21, 1.31) | 1.18 | (1.08, 1.37) | 1.25 | (1.21, 1.32) | ||||
2 | 1.55 | (1.48, 1.77) | 1.55 | (1.40, 2.02) | 1.56 | (1.50, 1.80) | ||||
3 | 1.52 | (1.43, 3.11) | 1.41 | (1.22, 3.67) | 1.71 | (1.58, 3.19) | ||||
Trouble falling asleep | ||||||||||
1 = Never | 22031 | 1.00 | — | 21130 | 1.00 | — | 30353 | 1.00 | — | |
2 | 13202 | 1.01 | (0.96, 1.07) | 13125 | 1.03 | (0.92, 1.15) | 18367 | 1.03 | (0.98, 1.08) | |
3 | 6126 | 1.11 | (1.05, 1.17) | 6138 | 1.00 | (0.86, 1.14) | 8423 | 1.08 | (1.02, 1.14) | |
4 | 4241 | 1.17 | (1.11, 1.24) | 4580 | 1.07 | (0.93, 1.22) | 5977 | 1.14 | (1.07, 1.20) | |
5 | 673 | 1.20 | (1.06, 1.34) | 747 | 1.10 | (0.81, 1.39) | 961 | 1.22 | (1.10, 1.35) | |
6 = Almost every night | 1252 | 1.25 | (1.15, 1.35) | 1297 | 1.27 | (1.06, 1.48) | 1694 | 1.25 | (1.16, 1.34) | |
BMI | ||||||||||
18.5–24.99 | 26575 | 1.00 | — | 24769 | 1.00 | — | 36512 | 1.00 | — | |
25–29.99 | 15002 | 1.07 | (1.02, 1.11) | 15662 | 1.05 | (0.95, 1.15) | 20792 | 1.07 | (1.03, 1.11) | |
< 18.5 | 577 | 1.19 | (1.00, 1.39) | 500 | 1.38 | (0.98, 1.78) | 837 | 1.19 | (1.01, 1.37) | |
30+ | 5371 | 1.20 | (1.14, 1.26) | 6086 | 1.15 | (1.02, 1.27) | 7634 | 1.19 | (1.14, 1.25) | |
Smoking | ||||||||||
No | 39099 | 1.00 | — | 38963 | 1.00 | — | 53692 | 1.00 | — | |
Yes | 8426 | 1.16 | (1.11, 1.21) | 8054 | 1.23 | (1.13, 1.34) | 12083 | 1.18 | (1.13, 1.22) | |
