Figure 4

Results: All of France, model calibration at the scale of the départements. (a) Time course of the riots in France: data (dots) and model (continuous curves). Only the 12 most active départements are shown. The plots share a common scale for the number of events. (b) Same as (a), but with relative scales. (c) Total number of events. (d) Temporal unfolding (date when the number of riot events reaches its maximum value), shown for the départements having more than 60 events. Each blue circle has a diameter proportional to the reference population of the corresponding départements. The grey crosses remind the plot locations of the major municipalities of Île-de-France shown in Fig. 2c. The red lines depict the identity diagonal line.