Figure 8
From: Epidemiological modelling of the 2005 French riots: a spreading wave and the role of contagion

Surrogate data: examples of Poisson samples (open circles) for two examples of rate curves (red curves). These curves are taken from the model fit, top: for département 93, bottom: for département 76. In each case, four different probabilistic realizations of Poisson noise are shown. The light orange areas are the 95% highest density regions.