Table 1 Summary table for estimated model parameters by fitting 2014 Guangdong cities weekly confirmed dengue data to the Richards model.
From: Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of 2014 Dengue Outbreak in Guangdong, China
City | Time interval | Growth rate r (95% CI) | Case number K (95% CI) | Turning point (week) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Guangzhou | W33~W44 | 0.56 (0.51, 0.61) | 36,342 (35,753, 36,932) | 40 |
Foshan | W25~W50 | 0.86 (0.73, 0.98) | 3550 (3,529, 3,571) | 40 |
Zhongshan | W27~W46 | 0.69 (0.62, 0.76) | 673 (666, 679) | 40 |
Jiangmen | W34~W48 | 0.94 (0.47, 1.41) | 590 (577, 604) | 40 |
Zhuhai | W36~W53 | 0.94 (0.61, 1.26) | 508 (502, 513) | 41 (40.06) |
Shenzhen | W36~W44 | 1.39 (0.72, 2.06) | 385 (367, 403) | 41 |
Qingyuan | W33~W53 | 1.29 (0.57, 2.02) | 297 (293, 301) | 41 |
Dongguan | W36~W44 | 1.22 (0.90, 1.55) | 267 (262, 273) | 40 |
Zhaoqing | W37~W46 | 2.38 (1.96, 2.80) | 275 (274, 276) | 41 (40.04) |
Chaozhou | W38~W53 | 1.00 (0.34, 1.65) | 137 (134, 140) | 42 |
Maoming | W37~W48 | 0.72 (0.40, 1.03) | 91 (88, 94) | 42 |
Guangdong | W23~W53 | 0.63 (0.58, 0.68) | 44,984 (44,812, 45,157) | 40 |
