Table 2 Summary table for estimated model parameters by fitting 2014 Guangzhou districts weekly confirmed dengue data to the Richards model.
From: Spatial and Temporal Characteristics of 2014 Dengue Outbreak in Guangdong, China
District | Time interval | Growth rate r (95% CI) | Case number K (95% CI) | Turning point (week) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Yuexiu | W25~W53 | 0.35 (0.33, 0.36) | 4,779 (4,761, 4,798) | 40 |
Baiyun | W26~W53 | 0.87 (0.76, 0.97) | 11,803 (11,751, 11,855) | 40 |
Haizhu | W26~W53 | 0.65 (0.62, 0.68) | 5,984 (5,970, 5,998) | 40 |
Liwan | W27~W53 | 0.63 (0.56, 0.69) | 4,452 (4,429, 4,474) | 40 |
Panyu | W29~W53 | 0.69 (0.64, 0.74) | 3,533 (3,522, 3,544) | 40 |
Tianhe | W31~W53 | 0.75 (0.66, 0.83) | 3,418 (3,401, 3,436) | 40 |
Huangpu | W32~W53 | 0.71 (0.63, 0.78) | 1,804 (1,795, 1,814) | 41 |
Conghua | W33~W53 | 1.69 (0.89, 2.50) | 105 (104, 106) | 41 |
Huadu | W35~W53 | 1.38 (0.65, 2.10) | 543 (536, 549) | 41 |
Nansha | W35~W48 | 0.24 (0.20, 0.28) | 476 (465, 487) | 41 |
Zengcheng | W36~W45 | 0.99 (0.70, 1.28) | 339 (331, 347) | 41 |
