Figure 2

Relationship between GMST and HU/SWR in decadal variations for different areas. (a–d) Lagged regression (a,b) of net heat uptake HU and net shortwave radiation (SWR) (c,d), against GMST. (a,b) HU split between tropics (30°S and 30°N) and extra-tropics such that both panels sum to Fig. 1. (c,d) SWR split between tropics and extra-tropics, ocean and land, and upward and downward shortwave radiation such that the black and purple lines in both panels sum to the green line in Fig. 1. Regression values are in W m−2 K−1.