Table 1 Movement model parameters (with 95% credible intervals) for gravity and radiation models fitted to origin-destination pairs in all survey countries.
From: Mathematical models of human mobility of relevance to malaria transmission in Africa
Model: | Parameters: | Mali: | Burkina Faso: | Zambia: | Tanzania: | All countries: |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
α | 2.00 (1.62–2.58) | 1.27 (1.18–1.38) | 1.70 (1.54–1.88) | 3.62 (2.78–5.16) | 1.91 (1.78–2.06) | |
log(ρ) | 4.98 (4.52–5.47) | 0.54 (0.02–1.80) | 3.65 (3.31–3.97) | 5.90 (5.41–6.47) | 4.29 (4.09–4.48) | |
τ | 1.239 (1.211–1.267) | 1.342 (1.304–1.381) | 0.91 (0.83–0.97) | 0.86 (0.79–0.94) | 1.22 (1.20–1.24) | |
DIC | 12,027 | 8,444.4 | 14,593 | 16,762 | 52,206 | |
α | 2.12 (1.78–2.63) | 1.70 (1.48–1.99) | 1.74 (1.58–1.93) | 3.43 (2.71–4.64) | 1.84 (1.73–1.98) | |
log(ρ) | 4.83 (4.43–5.25) | 2.64 (1.47–3.32) | 3.75 (3.43–4.05) | 5.79 (5.33–6.29) | 4.10 (3.93–4.29) | |
DIC | 12,305 | 8,757.5 | 14,598 | 16,771 | 52,642 | |
Radiation model A (Equation 4) | u | 66.2 (58.8–74.7) | 34.2 (29.9–39.1) | 37.8 (33.7–42.8) | 210 (184–240) | 68.3 (64.0–72.9) |
DIC | 12,149 | 8,653 | 14,719 | 16,931 | 52,860 | |
Radiation model B (Equation 5) | v | 2.67 (2.37–3.00) × 106 | 1.80 (1.58–2.06) × 106 | 6.61 (5.80–7.60) × 105 | 3.66 (3.24–4.19) × 106 | 1.96 (1.84–2.10) × 106 |
DIC | 12,222 | 8,649 | 14,657 | 16,886 | 52,761 |
