Table 3 Gravity model parameters (with 95% credible intervals) for models fitted to origin-destination pairs stratified by traveler group (W&C: women traveling with children; YW: youth workers) in all survey countries.

From: Mathematical models of human mobility of relevance to malaria transmission in Africa

Model:

Parameters:

Mali (W&C):

Mali (YW):

Burkina Faso (W&C):

Zambia (W&C):

Tanzania (W&C):

All countries (W&C):

Gravity model with τ

α

1.76 (1.33–2.55)

23.6 (2.8–70.6)

1.72 (1.54–2.07)

1.86 (1.60–2.19)

2.32 (1.89–2.92)

2.01 (1.83–2.23)

log(ρ)

3.97 (3.05–4.87)

8.90 (6.46–9.96)

1.03 (0.05–2.75)

3.40 (2.85–3.92)

4.22 (3.59–4.85)

3.68 (3.37–4.00)

τ

1.20 (1.14–1.26)

1.26 (1.21–1.31)

1.21 (1.14–1.28)

0.76 (0.62–0.90)

0.59 (0.40–0.77)

1.12 (1.08–1.16)

DIC

2,472

4,390

2,496

4,010

3,591

12,679

Radiation model B

v

1.95

(1.52–2.52) × 106

4.99

(3.99–6.30) × 106

1.13

(0.88–1.45) × 106

3.55

(2.76–4.50) × 105

7.66

(5.84–9.99) × 105

8.56

(7.52–9.74) × 105

DIC

2,518

4,486

2,508

4,027

3,618

12,758