Table 3 The changes of main factors of winter wheat in Huang-Huai-Hai Plain in different time in the future.

From: Estimating the potential yield and ETc of winter wheat across Huang-Huai-Hai Plain in the future with the modified DSSAT model

Project

RCP4.5

RCP8.5

2020s

2050s

2080s

2020s

2050s

2080s

potential yield

(kg ha−1 a−1)

10375

10585

10676

10171

10547

10224

ETC (mm a−1)

441.89

445.10

449.24

438.81

442.56

429.47

Effective precipitation (mm a−1)

195.02

200.15

208.27

194.19

184.15

191.58

IWRa (mm a−1)

246.87

244.95

240.97

244.62

258.41

237.89

  1. Notes: aIWR represents irrigation water requirements, mm a−1.