Table 2 Summary of Generalized Additive Models used for predictions, the explanatory covariates and the number of knots used in the final model. Also presented, are the area under the curve (AUC), specificity and sensitivity values associated with the final models used for predictions.
From: Important At-Sea Areas of Colonial Breeding Marine Predators on the Southern Patagonian Shelf
Species and breeding stage/season (group) | Explanatory covariates | AUC | Specificity | Sensitivity | Telemetry data representative value (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Penguins | |||||
Gentoo penguin winter | Distance (k = 3) + bathymetry (k = 4) + EKE (k = 3) | 0.96 ± 0.02 | 0.88 ± 0.08 | 0.95 ± 0.03 | 90 ± 5 |
Gentoo penguin summer | Distance (k = 3) + bathymetry (k = 4) | 0.99 ± 0.01 | 0.97 ± 0.01 | 0.99 ± 0.01 | 96 ± 2 |
Magellanic penguin | Distance (k = 3) + bathymetry (k = 3) + SST (k = 5) | 0.93 ± 0.07 | 0.79 ± 0.15 | 0.96 ± 0.03 | 70 ± 17 |
King penguin | Distance (k = 3) + SST (k = 3) + SLA (k = 3) + EKE (k = 3) | 0.90 | 0.92 | 0.72 | 93 |
Rockhopper penguin incubation | Distance (k = 3) + SST (k = 3) + bathymetry (k = 3) + SLA (k = 3) + slope (k = 3) + EKE (k = 3) | 0.85 ± 0.05 | 0.71 ± 0.01 | 0.93 ± 0.06 | 80 ± 1 |
Rockhopper penguin chick rearing | Distance (k = 3) + slope (k = 4) | 0.96 ± 0.02 | 0.88 ± 0.05 | 0.94 ± 0.09 | 60 ± 12 |
Flying seabirds | |||||
Black-browed albatross incubation | Distance (k = 3) + bathymetry (k = 4) + SST (k = 5) | 0.93 ± 0.01 | 0.85 ± 0.01 | 0.97 ± 0.03 | 93 ± 6 |
Black-browed albatross chick rearing | Distance (k = 4) + bathymetry (k = 3) | 0.99 ± 0.01 | 0.94 ± 0.02 | 0.96 ± 0.03 | 61 ± 14 |
Sooty shearwater | Bathymetry (k = 3) + SLA (k = 3) + distance (k = 3) + SST (k = 3) | 0.94 | 0.85 | 0.92 | 92 |
Pinnipeds | |||||
South American fur seal winter | Distance (k = 3) + bathymetry (k = 4) + EKE (k = 4) | 0.91 ± 0.06 | 0.74 ± 0.17 | 0.95 ± 0.05 | 90 ± 11 |
South American fur seal spring | Distance (k = 4) + bathymetry (k = 4) + SST (k = 3) + SLA (k = 3) | 0.86 ± 0.01 | 0.67 ± 0.05 | 0.99 ± 0.01 | 61 ± 5 |
Southern sea lion | Distance (k = 3) + bathymetry (k = 4) | 0.93 ± 0.02 | 0.83 ± 0.05 | 0.97 ± 0.01 | 90 ± 5 |
Southern elephant seals | Bathymetry (k = 3) + distance (k = 5) + SST (k = 3) + SLA (k = 3) + EKE (k = 4) + slope (k = 4) | 0.95 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 72 |
