Figure 3

Fixed effect pessimism in models A_GLM2 and B_GLM2. (a,b) Predicted probabilities (y-axis) of the models by pessimism scores (x-axis) and grouped by condition (colours). The shading represents the respective 95% confidence interval of predicted probabilities for the fixed effects computed from the whole models (taking random effects into account). (a) Shows the predicted probabilities of placing a bet in Version A of the paradigm obtained from model A_GLM2. (b) Shows the predicted probabilities of guessing “win” in Version B of the paradigm as obtained from model B_GLM2.