Table 2 Model outputs of the dependence of the mismatch measure, the overlap and the recruitment index (year class strength) on environmental and stock variables.

From: Understanding temperature effects on recruitment in the context of trophic mismatch

1-GAM- Mismatch

Explained Deviance: 74.4%

Parametric coefficients

Estimate

Std.Error

t-value

Pr(>|t|)

Intercept

−59.753

33.198

−1.8

0.09

Average February temperature

12.536

5.225

2.4

0.03*

Smooth terms

Edf

Ref.df

F

p -value

s(Rate of temperature decrease)

2.804

3.272

5.798

0.008**

2-GLM- Overlap

Residual Deviance = 0.82 on 14d.f (pseudo R 2 = 0.11)

Parametric coefficients

Estimate

Std.Error

t-value

Pr(>|t|)

Intercept

0.162

2.856

0.057

0.95

Average February temperature

−0.161

0.317

−0.506

0.62

Rate of temperature decrease

−30.289

30.369

−0.997

0.34

3-GAM- Sandeel recruitment (YCS)

Explained Deviance: 91%

Parametric coefficients

Estimate

Std.Error

t-value

Pr(>|t|)

Intercept

5.357

0.2271

23.6

<0.001***

Age1 abundance

−5.8 × 10−5

1.22 × 10−4

−0.476

0.65

Smooth terms

Edf

Ref.df

F

p -value

s(mismatch)

3.363

3.761

14.4

0.001**

4-GLM- Sandeel recruitment (YCS)

Residual Deviance = 254756 on 11d.f (pseudo R 2 = 0.72)

Parametric coefficients

Estimate

Std.Error

t-value

Pr(>|t|)

Intercept

−0.08

1.26

−0.064

0.95

Overlap

8.08

1.56

5.18

0.0003***