Table 3 Comparisons of peak egg production in C. helgolandicus, spawning day and embryonic development in sandeel and the resulting trophic mismatch in present temperature conditions or predicted according to modelled future climate projections. Numbers in brackets correspond to 95% CIs.

From: Understanding temperature effects on recruitment in the context of trophic mismatch

Climate change scenario

C. helgolandicus peak egg production

Sandeel spawning

Sandeel average incubation duration

Mismatch

Present data (20002016)

55.5 (40.4–71.2)

34.6 (17–50.2)

40.6 (37.8–44.4)

19.8 (−9–39.6)

Average GHG emissions 2080

37.3 (24.2–50.3)

28.6 (24.9–32.2)

34.4 (33.1–34.8)

29.3 (14.5–44.1)

High GHG emissions 2050

31.7 (15–48.5)

31.9 (28.9–35)

32.1 (32.1–33)

41.4 (22.2–60.5)