Figure 8

Patterns of the log likelihood by σ, the parameter for distance for different values of the input parameters. Red solid line: reference scenario for sensitivity analysis (base model with constant transmission, 13,000 initial infections with only the warm-up and model run-in period, uniform distribution of households), Blue dashed line: reference with a lower number of initial infections (1000 initial infections with an additional run-in period), Green dashed line: reference scenario with half the warm-up period (500 time-steps), Purple solid line: reference with 50% clustering of households in the study area.