Figure 3
Estimated pertussis incidence per 100,000 population, all modeling methods for the 52-week 2011 forecasting period, United States. Abbreviations: PT: Project Tycho, AIC(i*): lowest AIC model, All Models Average: average of 2n−1 models using posterior probabilities, Top Models Average: average of few most probable models using posterior probabilities, AR(1): models using the simple AR(1) Cochrane-Orcutt correction.
