Figure 3

Calibration plots for the five-year CVD risk for women and men. Error bars represent 95%-confidence intervals. Dotted lines visualize predictions from the original equations, dashed lines show predictions from recalibrated equations and continuous lines give predictions from re-estimated equations. In a perfectly calibrated equation, the calibration curve follows the diagonal; a calibration curve above the diagonal indicates underprediction, whereas a calibration curve below the diagonal indicates overprediction. The parametric Framingham 1991 equation cannot be recalibrated. Abbreviations: ASCVD, atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease.