Table 4 Accuracy of the RISK6 signature benchmarked against the WHO target product profile for a screening/triage test.

From: RISK6, a 6-gene transcriptomic signature of TB disease risk, diagnosis and treatment response

Cohort (comparison)

RISK6 Threshold#

Sensitivity, set to ≥90%

Specificity#

Cases, n

Controls, n

AUC

AUC 95%CI

Cross-sectional TB (Definite TB vs asymptomatic controls)

HIV+

0.78

90.5%

72.5%

42

40

92.6%

86.8–98.5%

HIV−

0.78

90.2%

93.4%

51

61

93.7%

87.9–99.4%

ScreenTB and AE-TBC: Symptomatic adults (Definite TB vs ORD)

A-priori analysis

0.55

90.8%

55.7%

76

210

84.8%

79.6–90.0%

$Post-hoc analysis in those without previous TB

0.61

91.0%

75%

37

128

87.2%

80.2–94.1%

$Post-hoc analysis in those with previous TB

0.46

92.3%

37.8%

39

82

82.7%

74.6–90.7%

RePORT-Brazil (Definite TB vs household contacts)

Definite TB vs combined QFT+ and QFT−

0.61

90.2%

73.7%

51

99

90.9%

85.2–96.6%

Definite TB vs QFT+

0.61

90.2%

59.1%

51

22

88.6%

81.2–96%

Definite TB vs QFT−

0.61

90.2%

77.9%

51

77

91.5%

85.9–97.1%

Peru (Definite TB vs household contacts)

Definite TB vs combined QFT+ and QFT−

0.21

91.7%

65.6%

48

96

90.6%

85.5–95.6%

Definite TB vs QFT+

0.21

91.7%

57.1%

48

49

89.6%

83.5–95.7%

Definite TB vs QFT−

0.19

91.7%

74.5%

48

47

91.5%

86.2–96.9%

Catalysis Cohort (Definite TB vs asymptomatic controls)

0.39

90.0%

95.2%

87

21

93.9%

85.5–100%

  1. #Specificities and the RISK6 threshold are reported at a sensitivity of ~90%, which is the minimum criterion specified in the TPP for an incipient TB test4. At a sensitivity of ~90%, the minimum specificity as set out in this TPP should be ≥70%.
  2. $Posthoc performance assessed after sample unblinding.