Table 4 Parameters of three scenarios.
From: System dynamics modelling of urbanization under energy constraints in China
Parameter | Scenario | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
AED | ERC | LOD | ||
Growth rate of output | primary industry | 4% | 3% | 3% |
secondary industry | 7% | 5% | 5% | |
tertiary industry | 8% | 6% | 8% | |
Growth rate of the production of fossil energy | coal | Adopt historical data | 0.47% from 2015–2030 −0.98% from 2031–2050 | 0.47% from 2015–2030 −0.98% from 2031–2050 |
petroleum | Adopt historical data | 4.75% from 2015–2030 3.61% from 2031–2050 | 4.75% from 2015–2030 3.61% from 2031–2050 | |
natural gas | Adopt historical data | 5.67% from 2015–2030 0.65% from 2031–2050 | 5.67% from 2015–2030 0.65% from 2031–2050 | |
Growth rate of the production of non-fossil energy | Adopt historical data | Constant | 7.64% | |
Motor vehicle policy | Adopt historical data | Constant | phase out production and sales of fossil fuel cars by 2035 | |
