Figure 4

Normalized coastal land loss (km2/km) projections per NUTS 3 region for the median SLR at 2100 under RCP 8.5 (in the absence of ambient shoreline changes), relative to the baseline year 2010. The coastal land loss has been normalized per the coastline length of each NUTS3 region. Note that each region has a variable area and thus coastline length as defined by Eurostat. Each map represents an assessment with a specific combination of geophysical (sandy beach location and nearshore slope): (a) EUROSION and 1:100 slope, (b) EUROSION and SVNS, (c) SDSB and 1:100 slope and (d) SDSB and SVNS. The maps are projected in the ETRS89-LAEA system. The values at the bottom left of each map indicate the European average shoreline retreat (m) and are derived for median SLR projections, while in the brackets the average EU values are given for the of 5th to 95th percentiles of the SLR projections.