Figure 2

Visual predictive checks (VPCs) for the final models without the CCF. For each method to handle the predictions, human baseline CFU and MPNrpf observed data (circles) and simulations (shaded areas) are displayed. From top to bottom, shaded areas represent 95% confidence intervals of the 90th (light grey), median (dark grey) and 10th (light grey) percentiles of simulated data based on 1,000 simulations. The red circle indicates the median of observed data.