Table 2 Best ranked models according to Akaike’s model weight (cumulative AIC weight > 0.95). Each of the algebraic signs indicates a positive or negative association of predictors (pop = human population, east = binary, region of former political East or West Germany, water = binary, presences of stagnant water bodies, fem = proportion of women, preci = mean precipitation (March to Nov, 2012 to 2017), wind = mean wind speed (1981 to 2000) with submission numbers. In brackets: predictors not present in all of the best models.
Count hurdle model predictors (truncated negbin with log link) | Zero hurdle model predictors (binomial with logit link) | Delta-AIC | AIC weight |
---|---|---|---|
+ pop + east + water − preci − wind | + pop + east + water + fem − wind | 0 | 0.328 |
+ pop + east + water (+ fem) − preci − wind | + pop + east + water + fem − wind | 0.055 | 0.319 |
+ pop + east + water − preci − wind | + pop + east + water + fem (+ preci) − wind | 1.320 | 0.170 |
+ pop + east + water (+ fem) − preci − wind | + pop + east + water + fem (+ preci) − wind | 1.374 | 0.165 |