Table 2 Best ranked models according to Akaike’s model weight (cumulative AIC weight > 0.95). Each of the algebraic signs indicates a positive or negative association of predictors (pop = human population, east = binary, region of former political East or West Germany, water = binary, presences of stagnant water bodies, fem = proportion of women, preci = mean precipitation (March to Nov, 2012 to 2017), wind = mean wind speed (1981 to 2000) with submission numbers. In brackets: predictors not present in all of the best models.

From: Drivers of spatio-temporal variation in mosquito submissions to the citizen science project ‘Mückenatlas’

Count hurdle model predictors (truncated negbin with log link)

Zero hurdle model predictors (binomial with logit link)

Delta-AIC

AIC weight

+ pop + east + water − preci − wind

+ pop + east + water + fem − wind

0

0.328

+ pop + east + water (+ fem) − preci − wind

+ pop + east + water + fem − wind

0.055

0.319

+ pop + east + water − preci − wind

+ pop + east + water + fem (+ preci) − wind

1.320

0.170

+ pop + east + water (+ fem) − preci − wind

+ pop + east + water + fem (+ preci) − wind

1.374

0.165