Figure 1
From: On the use of aggregated human mobility data to estimate the reproduction number
Reproduction number estimates for two US states. Comparison between the reproduction number calculated from symptom onset data as in literature22 (dashed red line) and the reproduction number computed according our kinetic SDM approach, using data from23 for mobility24, for social proximity and25 for epidemic data. Ribbons are the \(90\%\) credible interval obtained via bootstrapping. Insets represent the single components of the reproduction number as in Eq. (1), specifically solid black and gray line is R(t) using only mobility and interpersonal proximity variables respectively, and dashed black line is R(t) due to the depletion of susceptibles only. The scale of the insets are the same the main plot. Calibration coefficients in the two examples are \(c=1.21\) and \(c=1.05\) respectively (see “Calibration” subsection of Methods).
