Figure 5
Model description of the first epidemic wave. (a) Time evolution of the epidemic curves in Italy during the first 150 days for Daily positive cases (NP), Positive cases (P), Hospitalized cases (H) and Deaths (D), as indicated. Black symbols are data, red curves are the fits to the model. Data (from42) are normalized at the peak value. Time is measured in days from the day zero, February 4th, 2020. (b) Mobility parameter \(\beta\), removal rate \(\gamma\), infection rate \(\alpha\) and the corresponding peak reduction \(\delta\) are indicated for the four indexes considered in (a). The shaded area represents the standard deviation, dashed red line is the average.
