Figure 6
Model description of the second epidemic wave in Italy. (a) Time evolution during the first 75 days of the second wave of Daily positive cases (NP), Positive cases (P), Hospitalized cases (H) and Deaths (D), as indicated. Black symbols are data, red curves are the fits to the model. Data (from42) are normalized at the peak value. Time is measured in days from the day zero, September 20th, 2020. (b) Mobility parameter \(\beta\), removal rate \(\gamma\), infection rate \(\alpha\) and the corresponding peak reduction \(\delta\) are indicated for the four indexes considered in (a). The shaded area represents the standard deviation, dashed red line is the average.
