Table 2 A list of variables considered for inclusion in generalized linear mixed models predicting pathogen and parasite exposure. Variable descriptions and rationales or predictions are provided; a * indicates the variable was included in the final complete model, a + indicates the variable was included in the geographic model.
From: Patterns and processes of pathogen exposure in gray wolves across North America
Variable name | Description | Rationale for inclusion/prediction |
---|---|---|
Latitude+ | Latitude at study area centroid | Latitude may capture geographic variation in pathogen infections; we predicted that seroprevalence decreases as latitude increases. |
Longitude+ | Longitude at study area centroid | Longitude may capture geographic variation in pathogen infections. |
Age class*+ | Estimate of wolf age class: pup (< 1), subadult (1–2), and adult (≥ 3) | As individuals age, they have more time to be exposed to pathogens, thus older wolves will have higher seroprevalence. Age category is less error-prone than numerical age estimates. |
Year* | Biological year, birth month = first month | Pathogen exposure may be predictable by year (i.e., endemics), or unpredictable (i.e., epidemics). |
Study area* | Study area abbreviation | Study area may describe variation in pathogen exposure, not accounted for by other variables. |
Habitat quality* | Index for habitat quality based on land cover type and topography | A continuous estimate of the habitat quality of the study area, this covariate considers habitat characteristics that carnivores, especially wolves, positively select. This is a proxy for the presence of sympatric carnivore hosts. Prediction: seroprevalence increases with habitat quality. |
Human density* | Number of people/1000-km2 | Provides information about how urban the area is, and thus the potential for contact between unvaccinated dogs or synanthropic species (e.g., rodents, coyotes, raccoons, skunks, cats) and wolves. Prediction: seroprevalence increases with human density. |
Wolf density* | Number of wolves/1000-km2; mean annual density results in one estimate per study area | Population density is related to direct transmission rates and environmental contamination. Prediction: seroprevalence increases with wolf density. |
Pack size* | Mean annual pack size; one estimate per study area | This tells us about the daily contacts of a wolf, which differs from contact rate at the population-level. Prediction: seroprevalence increases with pack size. |
Sex* | Male or Female | There is evidence that males have higher pathogen prevalence than females across many taxa and pathogens—we predict males have higher seroprevalence. |
Coat color* | Gray or Black | The locus that confers black coat color in wolves is linked to beta-defensin genes, which increases the responsiveness of the innate immune system. We assume gray = missing k-locus, black = presence of k-locus. Prediction: black wolves have higher seroprevalence. |
Age | Estimate of wolf age; integer to two decimal places | As individuals age, they have more time to be exposed to pathogens, thus we predicted older wolves have higher seroprevalence. |
Social status | Breeder or non-breeder | Breeders typically have higher stress levels and energetic demands than non-breeders, which we predict increases seroprevalence. |
Prey species | Top two primary prey species | N. caninum or T. gondii may be more prevalent in different intermediate hosts. Prediction: seroprevalence is higher where white-tailed deer are a primary prey species. |
Pack membership | Name of the pack the wolf was a member of when sampled | There may be heterogeneities in pathogen exposure based on pack membership. |
Pack density | Number of packs/1000-km2; mean annual density results in one estimate per study area | Contact among wolves from different packs is likely influenced by the number of packs in the population. Prediction: seroprevalence increases with pack density. |