Table 5 Training group: ROC correlation analysis and comparison of DP-ACLF and other prognostic scores.

From: A dynamic prediction model for prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure based on the trend of clinical indicators

Variable

AUC (95% CI)

St

Cut-off value

Sensitivity

Specificity

Positive likelihood ratio

Negative likelihood ratio

Accuracy

*z statistic (p value)

CTP

0.601 (0.558–0.643)

0.025

12

0.568

0.584

0.058

0.029

66.2%

8.616 (p < 0.001)

MELD

0.706 (0.666–0.744)

0.024

25

0.612

0.704

0.326

0.078

69.7%

6.777 (p < 0.001)

MELD-Na

0.706 (0.666–0.744)

0.023

28

0.623

0.724

0.376

0.122

68.2%

6.363 (p < 0.001)

CLIF-SOFA

0.645 (0.603–0.685)

0.024

8

0.628

0.601

0.181

0.047

68.4%

8.174 (p < 0.001)

CLIF-C ACLF

0.651 (0.610–0.692)

0.025

43

0.579

0.656

0.212

0.091

66.5%

7.612 (p < 0.001)

COSSH-ACLF

0.644 (0.602–0.685)

0.025

6

0.743

0.483

0.151

0.062

66.7%

7.871 (p < 0.001)

DP-ACLF

0.850 (0.817–0.879)

0.017

9.4

0.874

0.698

1.259

0.151

76.3%

NA