Table 6 Validation group: ROC correlation analysis and comparison of DP-ACLF and other prognostic scores.

From: A dynamic prediction model for prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure based on the trend of clinical indicators

Variable

AUC (95% CI)

St

Cut-off value

Sensitivity

Specificity

Positive likelihood ratio

Negative likelihood ratio

Accuracy

*z statistic (p value)

CTP

0.601 (0.511–0.685)

0.051

11

0.939

0.351

0.031

0.010

74.6%

5.647 (p < 0.001)

MELD

0.721 (0.636–0.796)

0.059

26

0.606

0.856

0.269

0.054

76.2%

3.637 (p < 0.001)

MELD-Na

0.740 (0.655–0.813)

0.054

27

0.697

0.794

0.222

0.078

73.8%

3.571 (p < 0.001)

CLIF-SOFA

0.701 (0.615–0.778)

0.050

8

0.849

0.495

0.138

0.010

76.9%

4.596 (p < 0.001)

CLIF-C ACLF

0.694 (0.607–0.771)

0.055

48

0.485

0.887

0.138

0.043

74.6%

4.534 (p < 0.001)

COSSH-ACLF

0.724 (0.639–0.799)

0.051

6

0.788

0.577

0.320

0.043

77.7%

4.446 (p < 0.001)

DP-ACLF

0.907 (0.843–0.951)

0.027

9.7

0.909

0.784

1.75

0.078

85.4%

NA