Figure 4
From: A novel methodology for epidemic risk assessment of COVID-19 outbreak
The three main impact indicators for COVID-19—the total number of cases (a) and the total number of deaths (b) cumulated up to July 14, 20204, and the intensive care occupancy (c) at April 2, 20204—are reported as function of the a-priori risk index for all the Italian regions. The size of the points is proportional to the risk index score. A linear regression has been performed for each plot. The Pearson correlation coefficients are very good, always greater or equal than 0.97. The corresponding percentages of damages, aggregated for the three Italian macro-regions (North, Center and South (d)) are also reported to the right and can be compared with the percentages of cumulated a-priori risk (e). It is clear that our a-priori risk index is able to explain the anomalous damage discrepancies between these different parts of Italy. Maps were realized with QGIS 3.10 (https://qgis.org/en/site/).
