Figure 3
Observed and model fitted number of confirmed cases and deaths in England from week 9 to 34 of 2020, with projections to week 51 of 2020. Vertical coloured line represents the truncation points at the time of this analysis for observed input data for cases (week 34) and deaths (week 26) respectively. Blue solid line = observed number of weekly COVID-19 cases; blue dashed line = model fitted cases; dotted blue line = asymptomatic cases; red solid line = observed number of weekly COVID-19 deaths, red dashed line = model fitted deaths; red dotted line = COVID-19 deaths based on mortality rate from first wave.
