Table 3 Prediction accuracies of the four models varied according to risk cutoff points for defining a positive screening result.
Models | Risk score threshold (%) | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | Accuracy (%) | Detection prevalence (%) | Balanced accuracy (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Full | ≥ 2 | 0.841 | 0.895 | 0.16 | 0.996 | 0.894 | 0.122 | 0.868 |
≥ 5 | 0.795 | 0.928 | 0.207 | 0.995 | 0.925 | 0.089 | 0.862 | |
≥ 10 | 0.75 | 0.943 | 0.237 | 0.994 | 0.938 | 0.073 | 0.846 | |
Pre-operative | ≥ 2 | 0.864 | 0.9 | 0.17 | 0.996 | 0.899 | 0.118 | 0.882 |
≥ 5 | 0.841 | 0.926 | 0.211 | 0.996 | 0.924 | 0.092 | 0.883 | |
≥ 10 | 0.795 | 0.94 | 0.24 | 0.995 | 0.937 | 0.077 | 0.868 | |
Operative | ≥ 2 | 0.909 | 0.883 | 0.156 | 0.998 | 0.884 | 0.135 | 0.896 |
≥ 5% | 0.864 | 0.922 | 0.208 | 0.997 | 0.92 | 0.096 | 0.893 | |
≥ 10% | 0.841 | 0.938 | 0.243 | 0.996 | 0.936 | 0.08 | 0.889 | |
Simple | ≥ 2% | 0.909 | 0.877 | 0.149 | 0.998 | 0.878 | 0.141 | 0.893 |
≥ 5% | 0.841 | 0.929 | 0.219 | 0.996 | 0.927 | 0.089 | 0.885 | |
≥ 10% | 0.795 | 0.94 | 0.238 | 0.995 | 0.936 | 0.077 | 0.868 |