Table 3 Summary of linear mixed-effects models on the number of pumps that did not burst in Experiment 1.

From: Adaptation to recent outcomes attenuates the lasting effect of initial experience on risky decisions

Fixed effects

Estimate

SE

df

t-value

p-value

Model 1

(Intercept)

9.03

0.62

194.48

14.57

 < .001

Luck

− 4.29

0.81

151.71

− 5.33

 < .001

Balloon

− 0.05

0.02

469.43

− 2.04

.042

Luck * Balloon

0.12

0.03

468.51

4.00

 < .001

Random effects

Variance

SD

   

[Participants] (Intercept)

2.52

1.59

   

Model 2

(Intercept)

8.73

0.45

61.49

19.37

 < .001

Luck

− 3.61

0.61

51.24

− 5.95

 < .001

Bin 4

− 0.82

0.34

463.57

− 2.38

.018

Bin 5

− 0.36

0.40

465.21

− 0.90

.370

Bin 6

− 1.19

0.35

465.33

− 3.38

.001

Luck * Bin 4

2.60

0.43

462.90

6.02

 < .001

Luck * Bin 5

1.89

0.51

463.95

3.71

 < .001

Luck * Bin 6

2.15

0.45

464.17

4.79

 < .001

Random effects

Variance

SD

   

[Participants] (Intercept)

2.58

1.61

   

Model 3

(Intercept)

9.78

0.36

207.41

26.89

 < .001

Luck

− 3.52

0.47

157.37

− 7.49

 < .001

Balloon

− 0.05

0.02

558.59

− 3.22

.001

Luck * Balloon

0.08

0.02

557.14

3.98

 < 001

Random effects

Variance

SD

   

[Participants] (Intercept)

0.84

0.91

   

Model 4

(Intercept)

9.39

0.33

155.17

28.44

 < .001

Luck

− 3.30

0.43

113.57

− 7.75

 < .001

Bin 3

− 0.12

0.32

549.99

− 0.36

.717

Bin 4

− 0.63

0.40

552.63

− 1.57

.117

Bin 5

− 0.73

0.35

547.99

− 2.10

.036

Bin 6

− 1.14

0.35

554.64

− 3.28

.001

Luck * Bin 3

1.12

0.40

548.64

2.75

.006

Luck * Bin 4

1.76

0.50

550.40

3.51

 < .001

Luck * Bin 5

1.31

0.43

547.59

3.02

.003

Luck * Bin 6

1.80

0.43

552.32

4.16

 < .001

Random effects

Variance

SD

   

[Participants] (Intercept)

0.83

0.91

   

Model 5

(Intercept)

9.64

0.31

125.94

31.29

 < .001

Luck

− 5.46

0.46

149.45

− 12.01

 < .001

Length

0.42

0.44

133.84

0.95

.345

Balloon

− 0.08

0.01

1421.39

− 6.86

 < .001

Luck * Length

1.03

0.64

147.59

1.60

.112

Luck * Balloon

0.17

0.02

1416.61

10.31

 < .001

Length * Balloon

0.02

0.02

1416.66

1.06

.291

Luck * Length * Balloon

− 0.05

0.02

1415.53

− 2.32

.020

Random effects

Variance

SD

   

[Participants] (Intercept)

1.26

1.12

   
  1. Dependent variable in all models: Number of pumps on each balloon that did not burst. Model 1 and Model 2 were fit to the remaining balloons of the long-manipulation conditions, Model 3 and Model 4 were fit to the remaining balloons of the short-manipulation conditions; Model 5 was fit to all balloons of all conditions. For a more detailed description of each model, see main text. With the treatment contrast, the reference level of a given factor was used to estimate the other levels. These were lucky, long, Bin 2 (Model 4), and Bin 3 (Model 2). Significant effects are in bold. SE: standard error; SD: standard deviation.
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