Table 2 Values of the \(k_{ij}\) entries among US divisions. In the top section, the values between Mid-Atlantic (MA) and the other divisions are obtained from fits of the first wave timing. In the central and bottom sections, the complete matrix (except the entries between MA and NE) is obtained using flight data for the first wave (from April 1st to May 31st) and the second (from September 1st to October 31st), respectively.

From: Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics

\(k_{ij}\) values (1st wave fits)

Division code

NE

MA

SA

ESC

WSC

ENC

WNC

M

P

MA

0.72

0

0.0014

0.00075

0.0017

0.0023

0.0005

0.002

0.0053

First wave \(k_{ij}\) values (Flight data, from April 1st to May 31st)

NE

0

0.72

0.0045

0.00088

0.00087

0.0024

0.00052

0.00067

0.00091

MA

0.72

0

0.019

0.0056

0.0041

0.012

0.0025

0.0031

0.0059

SA

0.0043

0.018

0

0.0085

0.013

0.019

0.0057

0.0050

0.0067

ESC

0.00092

0.0053

0.0093

0

0.0051

0.0068

0.0023

0.0035

0.0065

WSC

0.00095

0.0038

0.014

0.0055

0

0.0092

0.0054

0.011

0.010

ENC

0.0025

0.012

0.018

0.0063

0.0086

0

0.0082

0.0079

0.0099

WNC

0.00038

0.0022

0.0056

0.0019

0.0046

0.0070

0

0.0055

0.0027

M

0.00050

0.0020

0.0042

0.0026

0.011

0.0072

0.0043

0

0.028

P

0.00084

0.0055

0.0063

0.0050

0.010

0.0092

0.0033

0.030

0

Second wave \(k_{ij}\) values (Flight data, from September 1st to October 31st)

Region-X

0.0066

0.028

0.029

0.013

0.019

0.027

0.014

0.03

0.03

NE

0

0.72

0.0028

0.00046

0.00031

0.0015

0.00026

0.00041

0.00082

MA

0.72

0.

0.011

0.002

0.0017

0.0064

0.0013

0.0021

0.0029

SA

0.0026

0.011

0

0.005

0.005

0.0096

0.003

0.0033

0.0035

ESC

0.00041

0.0019

0.0051

0

0.0019

0.0028

0.00087

0.0012

0.0015

WSC

0.00028

0.0015

0.0049

0.0018

0

0.0028

0.0016

0.004

0.0034

ENC

0.0014

0.0062

0.0089

0.0028

0.003

0

0.0039

0.0043

0.0045

WNC

0.00024

0.0013

0.0028

0.0009

0.0017

0.0038

0

0.0028

0.0016

M

0.00032

0.0017

0.0029

0.0011

0.0054

0.004

0.0026

0

0.014

P

0.00074

0.0028

0.0032

0.0014

0.0046

0.0041

0.0018

0.015

0