Table 3 Parameters of the eRG model for the first and second wave in the 9 divisions. For the first wave, we report the values from the fit, including the \(1\sigma\) error. For the second wave, the values are chosen to reproduce the current data, adjourned to December 16th.
From: Impact of US vaccination strategy on COVID-19 wave dynamics
Division | Code | First wave parameters (fitted) | Second wave parameters | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
a | \(\gamma\) | a | \(\gamma\) | ||
New England | NE | 9.397(7) | 0.416(7) | 11.006 | 0.214 |
Mid-Atlantic | MA | 9.496(7) | 0.516(9) | 10.882 | 0.206 |
South Atlantic | SA | 9.691(5) | 0.370(3) | 10.885 | 0.185 |
East South Central | ESC | 9.63(2) | 0.331(6) | 11.201 | 0.207 |
West South Central | WSC | 9.720(6) | 0.340(3) | 10.713 | 0.213 |
East North Central | ENC | 8.88(3) | 0.300(8) | 11.074 | 0.250 |
West North Central | WNC | 8.66(2) | 0.342(6) | 11.060 | 0.263 |
Mountain | M | 9.478(9) | 0.330(4) | 11.089 | 0.213 |
Pacific | P | 9.33(1) | 0.291(5) | 11.535 | 0.171 |