Table 1 Averages across the 10 locations of relative absolute error (RAE, %) and relative range (RR, %) of the 5-GCM subsets selected using five methods relative to the 20-GCM CMIP5 ensemble for projected canola and spring wheat yields.
Scenario | Method | Canola | Spring Wheat | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RAE | RR | RAE | RR | ||
RCP4.5 2040–2069 | T&Pa | 2.5 | 48.3 | 2.5 | 48.7 |
T&Pg | 2.6 | 52.2 | 2.2 | 66.5 | |
KKZa | 3.1 | 70.2 | 1.2 | 66.9 | |
KKZg | 3.6 | 86.4 | 2.5 | 75.6 | |
KKZgv | 5.2 | 95.1 | 2.3 | 72.6 | |
RCP4.5 2070–2099 | T&Pa | 4.9 | 64.2 | 3.0 | 48.0 |
T&Pg | 3.7 | 54.3 | 1.6 | 65.0 | |
KKZa | 4.6 | 78.2 | 2.4 | 58.9 | |
KKZg | 4.4 | 90.5 | 1.8 | 84.8 | |
KKZgv | 2.2 | 94.2 | 1.5 | 79.3 | |
RCP8.5 2040–2069 | T&Pa | 6.6 | 72.3 | 1.4 | 66.1 |
T&Pg | 2.0 | 72.3 | 1.1 | 65.7 | |
KKZa | 2.8 | 86.6 | 1.7 | 62.4 | |
KKZg | 3.6 | 84.4 | 1.5 | 77.7 | |
KKZgv | 4.7 | 88.7 | 1.5 | 75.2 | |
RCP8.5 2070–2099 | T&Pa | 4.9 | 68.5 | 1.8 | 75.3 |
T&Pg | 3.3 | 68.5 | 1.7 | 75.8 | |
KKZa | 5.6 | 93.3 | 1.8 | 76.3 | |
KKZg | 6.0 | 90.5 | 2.0 | 85.2 | |
KKZgv | 2.3 | 91.1 | 0.7 | 80.9 | |
Average | T&Pa | 4.7 | 63.3 | 2.2 | 59.5 |
T&Pg | 2.9 | 61.8 | 1.7 | 68.3 | |
KKZa | 4.0 | 82.1 | 1.8 | 66.1 | |
KKZg | 4.4 | 88.0 | 2.0 | 80.8 | |
KKZgv | 3.6 | 91.1 | 1.5 | 77.0 | |
