Figure 3

Yali Reservoir downstream flow hydrograph of mean (± 95% confidence interval) discharge under natural, historical, and future (Business as Usual reservoir rules) scenarios. Natural and historic discharge derived from 2002 to 2016. Future flows were calculated from four climate model groups and two greenhouse gas emissions scenarios under the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) from 2025 to 2050.