Table 2 The variation in the computed μ of the temperature’ posterior pdfs.

From: Sensitivity of non-conditional climatic variables to climate-change deep uncertainty using Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation

Sub-Basin

Short-term

Mid-term

Long-term

Spring

Summer

Autumn

Winter

Spring

Summer

Autumn

Winter

Spring

Summer

Autumn

Winter

Gamasiab

8.6 ± 0.2

23.1 ± 0.1

10.7 ± 0.1

2.0 ± 0.1

9.6 ± 0.2

24.6 ± 0.1

12.1 ± 0.2

2.5 ± 0.2

11.0 ± 0.2

26.5 ± 0.1

13.6 ± 0.2

2.4 ± 0.1

Gharesou

10.8 ± 0.1

25.1 ± 0.1

13.2 ± 0.1

1.0 ± 0.3

12.0 ± 0.1

26.3 ± 0.1

14.4 ± 0.1

1.9 ± 0.2

12.5 ± 0.1

28.4 ± 0.2

15.4 ± 0.1

3.0 ± 0.1

Kharkh-e-Jonobi

22.1 ± 0.2

35.9 ± 0.1

22.9 ± 0.2

9.6 ± 0.2

23.2 ± 0.2

37.3 ± 0.1

24.4 ± 0.2

10.7 ± 0.2

24.4 ± 0.2

39.0 ± 0.1

26.0 ± 0.1

12.0 ± 0.2

Kashkan

13.1 ± 0.2

27.3 ± 0.1

15.2 ± 0.1

1.9 ± 0.2

14.0 ± 0.2

27.8 ± 0.1

16.3 ± 0.1

2.8 ± 0.1

14.8 ± 0.1

28.5 ± 0.1

17.6 ± 0.1

4.8 ± 0.2

Seimareh

11.2 ± 0.3

25.7 ± 0.1

13.2 ± 0.1

1.3 ± 0.1

12.4 ± 0.2

27.3 ± 0.1

14.7 ± 0.2

2.2 ± 0.2

13.8 ± 0.2

29.1 ± 0.1

16.4 ± 0.1

3.4 ± 0.2

  1. The recorded values are within a 95% confidence interval.