Table 2 Time-varying regressions with bins of monthly temperature anomalies (0.2–0.4\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) is the reference bin).
From: Attributing changes in food insecurity to a changing climate
Moderate to severe | Severe | |
|---|---|---|
SHDI | − 2.631 | − 2.147 |
(− 2.848, − 2.414) | (− 2.292, − 2.002) | |
Drought (SPI-6) | 0.014 | 0.008 |
(0.012, 0.016) | (0.007, 0.009) | |
Temperature anomaly(t) | ||
2014: \(< 0.2^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | − 0.008 | − 0.005 |
(− 0.007, − 0.011) | (− 0.004, − 0.006) | |
2015: \(< 0.2^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | − 0.009 | − 0.006 |
(− 0.008, − 0.010) | (− 0.003, − 0.009) | |
2016: \(< 0.2^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | − 0.009 | − 0.005 |
(− 0.007, − 0.011) | (− 0.003, − 0.007) | |
2017: \(< 0.2^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | − 0.008 | − 0.006 |
(− 0.004, − 0.011) | (− 0.003, − 0.009) | |
2018: \(< 0.2^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | − 0.010 | − 0.005 |
(− 0.008, − 0.012) | (− 0.004, − 0.006) | |
2019: \(< 0.2^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | − 0.009 | − 0.006 |
(− 0.007, − 0.011) | (− 0.004, − 0.007) | |
2014: 0.4–0.6\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.028 | 0.020 |
(0.026, 0.030) | (0.018, 0.022) | |
2015: 0.4–0.6\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.030 | 0.021 |
(0.027, 0.033) | (0.017, 0.025) | |
2016: 0.4–0.6\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.031 | 0.022 |
(0.030, 0.032) | (0.019, 0.024) | |
2017: 0.4 –0.6\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.033 | 0.024 |
(0.031, 0.035) | (0.022, 0.026) | |
2018: 0.4 –0.6\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.033 | 0.024 |
(0.030, 0.036) | (0.021, 0.027) | |
2019: 0.4 –0.6\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.035 | 0.026 |
(0.033, 0.037) | (0.024, 0.028) | |
2014: 0.6–0.8\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.039 | 0.030 |
(0.037, 0.041) | (0.028, 0.032) | |
2015: 0.6–0.8\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.040 | 0.031 |
(0.039, 0.041) | (0.029, 0.033) | |
2016: 0.6–0.8\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.041 | 0.033 |
(0.039, 0.043) | (0.031, 0.034) | |
2017: 0.6–0.8\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.043 | 0.035 |
(0.040, 0.046) | (0.033, 0.037) | |
2018: 0.6 –0.8\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.042 | 0.034 |
(0.040, 0.044) | (0.031, 0.037) | |
2019: 0.6–0.8\(^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.044 | 0.036 |
(0.043, 0.045) | (0.033, 0.039) | |
2014: \(> 0.8^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.047 | 0.039 |
(0.044, 0.050) | (0.037, 0.041) | |
2015: \(> 0.8^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.048 | 0.041 |
(0.046, 0.050) | (0.038, 0.044) | |
2016: \(> 0.8^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.050 | 0.042 |
(0.047, 0.053) | (0.039, 0.045) | |
2017: \(> 0.8^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.051 | 0.043 |
(0.049, 0.053) | (0.040, 0.046) | |
2018: \(> 0.8^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.050 | 0.043 |
(0.047, 0.053) | (0.042, 0.044) | |
2019: \(> 0.8^{\circ }\,\hbox {C}\) | 0.054 | 0.045 |
(0.052, 0.056) | (0.043, 0.047) |
