Table 3 Performances of the 3 models within European Covid-19 Forecast Hub project on the Slovenian data from January 1, 2022 to March 28, 2022, measured by the relative weighted interval score (rel.wis).
From: Extended compartmental model for modeling COVID-19 epidemic in Slovenia
Model | Rel. wis | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Week1 | Week2 | Week3 | Week4 | ||
Weekly incidence cases | ULZF-SEIRC19SI | 0.45 | 0.51 | 0.58 | 0.56 |
EuroCOVIDhub-ensemble | 0.58 | 0.62 | 0.72 | 0.77 | |
EuroCOVIDhub-baseline | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Weekly incidence hospitals | ULZF-SEIRC19SI | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.61 |
EuroCOVIDhub-ensemble | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.48 | 0.64 | |
EuroCOVIDhub-baseline | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Weekly incidence deaths | ULZF-SEIRC19SI | 0.73 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.56 |
EuroCOVIDhub-ensemble | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.54 | 0.62 | |
EuroCOVIDhub-baseline | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
