Table 1 Responses of the target variables to the scenario variables under different scenarios.

From: Spatiotemporal variation in irrigation water requirements in the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor

Target node

Nodes for scenario setting

SA

FL

FH

WL

WH

IW

LCL

LCH

LF

LW

LM

LR

LSH

LSL

Major cash crops acreage (high)

+ 1.2

    

+ 0.2

        

Output of major grain crops(high)

+ 0.2

+ 2.5

+ 5.6

  

+ 0.1

  

+ 5.5

+ 5.7

+ 9

+ 4.4

− 0.2

− 0.1

Major grain crops acreage (high)

+ 1.7

             

Output of major cash crops(high)

 

+ 2.8

+ 8.7

   

− 1.3

+ 1.6

    

+ 10.7

+ 4.5

Undernourished population(low)

+ 2.1

 

− 0.2

   

− 0.2

− 0.4

 

+ 0.5

+ 7.2

+ 0.7

 

− 0.1

Undernourished population(high)

            

+ 0.4

+ 0.2

Arable land(high)

+ 17

             

GAP (high)

  

+ 1.4

   

− 0.2

+ 0.1

+ 2.6

+ 2.5

+ 3

+ 2.2

+ 0.3

+ 0.1

Agricultural water consumption(low)

 

+ 0.1

+ 0.1

           

Proportion of population with safe drinking water(high)

 

− 4.9

− 4.8

+ 0.3

− 1.4

+ 0.3

  

− 0.8

− 0.8

− 0.8

− 0.8

  

Total IR (low)

 

+ 0.4

+ 0.9

− 1.4

+ 0.7

   

− 0.2

     

Total IRnet of major cash crops(low)

      

− 5.6

− 17

    

− 9.6

− 4.7

Total IRnet of major cash crops(high)

       

+ 8.1

    

+ 4.1

 

Total IRnet of major grain crops(high)

        

+ 18.2

+ 10.5

+ 9

+ 10.3

  

Total IRnet of major grain crops(low)

    

+ 27

− 0.2

   

− 7.6

− 6.2

− 7.6

  

Groundwater usage(low)

   

+ 8

          

Groundwater usage(low)

              

Applying quantity of chemical fertilizer(low)

     

+ 0.3

        
  1. SA saline-alkali land area (low), FL quantity of chemical fertilizer (low), FH quantity of chemical fertilizer (high), WL number of tube wells (low), WH number of tube wells (high), IW total IR (low), LCL cotton acreage (low), LCH cotton acreage (high), LF major grain crop acreage (high), LW wheat acreage (high), LM maize acreage (high), LR rice acreage (high), LSH sugarcane acreage (high), LSL sugarcane acreage (low). The “high” and “low” indicate the highest or lowest level of each node after discretization, respectively. The values in the table show the change in the percentage probability values of the specific states of the response nodes on the left after the “high” or “low” states of the upper scenario variables are determined.