Table 1 Comparison of the simulation results with the observational data regarding the timing of turnover.
Year | Observational data | Simulation results | Difference (days) |
|---|---|---|---|
2007 | March 19 | Failure | – |
2008 | February 12 | February 11 | 1 |
2009 | February 23 | Failure | – |
2010 | February 8 | February 6 | 2 |
2011 | January 24 | February 12 | 19 |
2012 | February 13 | February 18 | 5 |
2013 | January 29 | January 27 | 2 |
2014 | February 17 | February 8 | 9 |
2015 | February 2 | February 2 | 0 |
2016 | March 14 | Failure | – |
2017 | January 26 | January 30 | 4 |
2018 | January 22 | January 27 | 5 |
