Table 5 PM2.5 and NO2 Sen slope, Mann Kendal and Forecast of the monitoring stations in Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan.
Location | Seasonal Sen slope | Correlated seasonal Mann-Kendal | MAPE trend STL | ADF test | Models | MAPE | RMSE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daitou_PM2.5 | − 1.278 | 0.001 | 0.1321 | 0.01 | ETS(M,A,M) | 15.1101 | 1.8093 |
Isahaya_PM2.5 | − 0.697 | 0.012 | 0.1820 | 0.01 | ARIMA(1,1,1)(2,0,0)[12] | 16.6838 | 2.2761 |
Shimabara_PM2.5 | − 0.626 | 0.151 | 0.1413 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 23.5660 | 2.7902 |
Oomura_PM2.5 | − 0.557 | 0.178 | 0.1515 | 0.04 | ETS(M,A,A) | 22.0190 | 2.4334 |
Kawadana_PM2.5 | − 0.467 | 0.204 | 0.1516 | 0.03 | ARIMA(1,0,1) with non-zero mean | 23.9933 | 2.4873 |
Togitsue_PM2.5 | − 0.581 | 0.081 | 0.1360 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 21.0916 | 2.3016 |
Yukiura_PM2.5 | − 0.574 | 0.045 | 0.1334 | 0.01 | ETS(M,Ad,A) | 21.9601 | 2.2308 |
Matsuura Shisamachi_PM2.5 | − 0.605 | 0.188 | 0.1602 | 0.02 | ARIMA(2,0,0)(0,0,1)[12] with non-zero mean | 18.1827 | 2.0515 |
Tsushima_PM2.5 | − 0.581 | 0.168 | 0.1701 | 0.01 | ARIMA(0,1,1)(2,1,0)[12] | 12.6324 | 1.5047 |
Iki_PM2.5 | − 0.718 | 0.005 | 0.1547 | 0.01 | ARIMA(0,0,0)(2,1,0)[12] with drift | 19.8552 | 2.5151 |
Goto_PM2.5 | − 0.429 | 0.014 | 0.1470 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 18.1000 | 2.2244 |
Obama_PM2.5 | − 0.542 | 0.064 | 0.1347 | 0.02 | ARIMA(0,1,1)(1,0,0)[12] | 17.3931 | 1.7036 |
Kogakura_PM2.5 | − 1.014 | 0.001 | 0.1138 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 12.5448 | 1.7062 |
Inasa_PM2.5 | − 0.824 | 0.003 | 0.1173 | 0.01 | ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,0,0)[12] | 15.9630 | 1.9276 |
Muramatsu_PM2.5 | − 0.865 | 0.002 | 0.1227 | 0.01 | ETS(M,Ad,A) | 14.2451 | 1.6485 |
Higashi Nagasaki_PM2.5 | − 0.833 | 0.003 | 0.1108 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 11.9808 | 1.5653 |
Fukuishi_Jihai_PM2.5 | − 1.178 | 0.002 | 0.1400 | 0.01 | ETS(M,A,M) | 14.8669 | 1.8090 |
Yoshii_PM2.5 | − 0.559 | 0.003 | 0.1414 | 0.01 | ETS(M,A,A) | 26.5897 | 2.5581 |
Daitou_NO2 | − 0.414 | 0.003 | 0.2773 | 0.01 | ETS(A,A,A) | 8.6719 | 0.7435 |
Isahaya_NO2 | − 0.218 | 0.028 | 0.4277 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 34.2538 | 1.3374 |
Shimabara_NO2 | − 0.162 | 0.032 | 0.1629 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 30.5764 | 1.4037 |
Oomura_NO2 | − 0.262 | 0.043 | 0.2977 | 0.01 | ETS(A,A,A) | 15.8421 | 0.8721 |
Kawadana_NO2 | − 0.179 | 0.006 | 0.3297 | 0.01 | ARIMA(1,0,0)(2,1,1)[12] with drift | 8.6144 | 0.4449 |
Togitsue_NO2 | − 0.194 | 0.007 | 0.3879 | 0.01 | ARIMA(0,0,0)(0,1,1)[12] with drift | 13.2104 | 0.8717 |
Yukiura_NO2 | − 0.016 | 0.332 | 0.1968 | 0.01 | ARIMA(0,0,1)(2,1,0)[12] | 20.5383 | 0.4300 |
Matsuura Shisamachi_NO2 | − 0.123 | 0.026 | 0.2012 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 16.8278 | 0.5062 |
Tsushima_NO2 | − 0.032 | 0.394 | 0.3543 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 10.1772 | 0.4442 |
Iki_NO2 | − 0.035 | 0.633 | 0.2060 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 43.7718 | 1.3767 |
Goto_NO2 | − 0.250 | 0.034 | 0.2290 | 0.01 | Holt-Winters' additive method | 26.8487 | 0.6317 |
Obama_NO2 | − 0.085 | 0.060 | 0.2679 | 0.01 | ARIMA(1,0,0)(2,1,0)[12] | 32.7484 | 0.6606 |
Kogakura_NO2 | − 0.488 | 0.002 | 0.2506 | 0.01 | ARIMA(1,0,0)(2,1,0)[12] with drift | 21.6239 | 1.4213 |
Inasa_NO2 | − 0.247 | 0.004 | 0.2993 | 0.01 | ETS(A,A,A) | 14.3113 | 0.8219 |
Muramatsu_NO2 | − 0.145 | 0.296 | 0.2812 | 0.01 | ARIMA(0,1,0)(0,1,2)[12] | 21.0657 | 0.9726 |
Higashi Nagasaki_NO2 | − 0.501 | 0.003 | 0.2849 | 0.01 | ARIMA(0,1,1)(0,1,1)[12] | 10.7545 | 0.6807 |
Fukuishi_Jihai_NO2 | − 0.776 | 0.002 | 0.1526 | 0.01 | ETS(M,A,M) | 7.8342 | 1.2311 |
Yoshii_NO2 | − 0.242 | 0.002 | 0.2727 | 0.01 | ETS(A,A,A) | 13.5204 | 0.3613 |