Table 5 PM2.5 and NO2 Sen slope, Mann Kendal and Forecast of the monitoring stations in Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan.

From: Spatiotemporal distribution, trend, forecast, and influencing factors of transboundary and local air pollutants in Nagasaki Prefecture, Japan

Location

Seasonal Sen slope

Correlated seasonal Mann-Kendal

MAPE trend STL

ADF test

Models

MAPE

RMSE

Daitou_PM2.5

− 1.278

0.001

0.1321

0.01

ETS(M,A,M)

15.1101

1.8093

Isahaya_PM2.5

− 0.697

0.012

0.1820

0.01

ARIMA(1,1,1)(2,0,0)[12]

16.6838

2.2761

Shimabara_PM2.5

− 0.626

0.151

0.1413

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

23.5660

2.7902

Oomura_PM2.5

− 0.557

0.178

0.1515

0.04

ETS(M,A,A)

22.0190

2.4334

Kawadana_PM2.5

− 0.467

0.204

0.1516

0.03

ARIMA(1,0,1) with non-zero mean

23.9933

2.4873

Togitsue_PM2.5

− 0.581

0.081

0.1360

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

21.0916

2.3016

Yukiura_PM2.5

− 0.574

0.045

0.1334

0.01

ETS(M,Ad,A)

21.9601

2.2308

Matsuura Shisamachi_PM2.5

− 0.605

0.188

0.1602

0.02

ARIMA(2,0,0)(0,0,1)[12] with non-zero mean

18.1827

2.0515

Tsushima_PM2.5

− 0.581

0.168

0.1701

0.01

ARIMA(0,1,1)(2,1,0)[12]

12.6324

1.5047

Iki_PM2.5

− 0.718

0.005

0.1547

0.01

ARIMA(0,0,0)(2,1,0)[12] with drift

19.8552

2.5151

Goto_PM2.5

− 0.429

0.014

0.1470

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

18.1000

2.2244

Obama_PM2.5

− 0.542

0.064

0.1347

0.02

ARIMA(0,1,1)(1,0,0)[12]

17.3931

1.7036

Kogakura_PM2.5

− 1.014

0.001

0.1138

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

12.5448

1.7062

Inasa_PM2.5

− 0.824

0.003

0.1173

0.01

ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,0,0)[12]

15.9630

1.9276

Muramatsu_PM2.5

− 0.865

0.002

0.1227

0.01

ETS(M,Ad,A)

14.2451

1.6485

Higashi Nagasaki_PM2.5

− 0.833

0.003

0.1108

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

11.9808

1.5653

Fukuishi_Jihai_PM2.5

− 1.178

0.002

0.1400

0.01

ETS(M,A,M)

14.8669

1.8090

Yoshii_PM2.5

− 0.559

0.003

0.1414

0.01

ETS(M,A,A)

26.5897

2.5581

Daitou_NO2

− 0.414

0.003

0.2773

0.01

ETS(A,A,A)

8.6719

0.7435

Isahaya_NO2

− 0.218

0.028

0.4277

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

34.2538

1.3374

Shimabara_NO2

− 0.162

0.032

0.1629

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

30.5764

1.4037

Oomura_NO2

− 0.262

0.043

0.2977

0.01

ETS(A,A,A)

15.8421

0.8721

Kawadana_NO2

− 0.179

0.006

0.3297

0.01

ARIMA(1,0,0)(2,1,1)[12] with drift

8.6144

0.4449

Togitsue_NO2

− 0.194

0.007

0.3879

0.01

ARIMA(0,0,0)(0,1,1)[12] with drift

13.2104

0.8717

Yukiura_NO2

− 0.016

0.332

0.1968

0.01

ARIMA(0,0,1)(2,1,0)[12]

20.5383

0.4300

Matsuura Shisamachi_NO2

− 0.123

0.026

0.2012

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

16.8278

0.5062

Tsushima_NO2

− 0.032

0.394

0.3543

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

10.1772

0.4442

Iki_NO2

− 0.035

0.633

0.2060

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

43.7718

1.3767

Goto_NO2

− 0.250

0.034

0.2290

0.01

Holt-Winters' additive method

26.8487

0.6317

Obama_NO2

− 0.085

0.060

0.2679

0.01

ARIMA(1,0,0)(2,1,0)[12]

32.7484

0.6606

Kogakura_NO2

− 0.488

0.002

0.2506

0.01

ARIMA(1,0,0)(2,1,0)[12] with drift

21.6239

1.4213

Inasa_NO2

− 0.247

0.004

0.2993

0.01

ETS(A,A,A)

14.3113

0.8219

Muramatsu_NO2

− 0.145

0.296

0.2812

0.01

ARIMA(0,1,0)(0,1,2)[12]

21.0657

0.9726

Higashi Nagasaki_NO2

− 0.501

0.003

0.2849

0.01

ARIMA(0,1,1)(0,1,1)[12]

10.7545

0.6807

Fukuishi_Jihai_NO2

− 0.776

0.002

0.1526

0.01

ETS(M,A,M)

7.8342

1.2311

Yoshii_NO2

− 0.242

0.002

0.2727

0.01

ETS(A,A,A)

13.5204

0.3613