Table 1 Summary of the PCR simulations undertaken in this study.

From: Assessing coastline recession for adaptation planning: sea level rise versus storm erosion

 

Waves

SLR (by end of twenty-first century, relative to end of twentieth century)

Simulation #1: Present-day storms only

Present-day wave climate

None

Simulation #2: Present-day storms and SLR

Present-day wave climate

SSP5-8.5, higher bound of likely range (IPCC AR6) (~ 1 m)

Simulation #3: Future storms (higher) and SLR

Increased peak storm Hs (by 3% for Narrabeena; by 5% for Noordwijkb)

SSP5-8.5, higher bound of likely range (IPCC AR6) (~ 1 m)

Simulation #4: Future storms (lower) and SLR

Decreased peak storm Hs (by 13% for Narrabeena; by 5% for Noordwijkb)

SSP5-8.5, higher bound of likely range (IPCC AR6) (~ 1 m)

  1. aHemer et al.24, bDebernard and Roed25.